Total knee arthroplasty in Italy: reflections from the last fifteen years and projections for the next thirty.
Epidemiology
Hospital discharge data
Projections
Total knee arthroplasty
Journal
International orthopaedics
ISSN: 1432-5195
Titre abrégé: Int Orthop
Pays: Germany
ID NLM: 7705431
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
01 2019
01 2019
Historique:
received:
31
08
2018
accepted:
14
09
2018
pubmed:
8
10
2018
medline:
24
9
2019
entrez:
8
10
2018
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Annual rates of knee arthroplasty are increasing in all developed countries, imposing a significant economic and organizational burden; it is crucial to forecast the future need for knee arthroplasty, to assist stakeholders in planning strategies and investments, especially in a country like Italy, with the largest proportion of elderly citizens in Europe. Few epidemiological studies have been performed worldwide to estimate the demand for future knee replacement, and a variety of methods have been proposed. We investigated the epidemiology of knee arthroplasty performed in Italy in the last 15 years and projected incidence rates up to the year 2050, utilizing, comparing, and adapting the available methodologies. From 2001 to 2016, 812,639 primary TKA were performed in Italy on patients over 40. The total number of surgeries increased by 262% with an average annual growth rate of 6.6%. Adopting the best fitting projection method, an increase of 45% in incidence rate is expected for 2050.
Identifiants
pubmed: 30293141
doi: 10.1007/s00264-018-4165-7
pii: 10.1007/s00264-018-4165-7
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
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