Stable Isotopes and Bayesian Modeling Methods of Tracking Sources and Differentiating Bioavailable and Recalcitrant Phosphorus Pools in Suspended Particulate Matter.

Understanding the sources of different phosphorus (P) pools and their bioavailability under imposed biogeochemical environments in a watershed is limited largely due to the lack of appropriate methods. In this research, phosphate oxygen isotope ratios and Bayesian modeling on fingerprinting elements were applied as two novel methods to identify sources and relative recalcitrancy of particulate P pools suspended in water in the continuum of sources from land to the mouth of a coastal estuary to the Chesapeake Bay. Comparative analyses of sizes, relative ratios, and oxygen isotope values of particulate P pools in the creek water suggested that the NaHCO