Recent insights on uncertainties present in integrated catchment water quality modelling.

Models, Theoretical Uncertainty Water Quality
Complexity management Integrated catchment modelling Sub-models of integrated modelling Uncertainty Water quality

Journal

Water research
ISSN: 1879-2448
Titre abrégé: Water Res
Pays: England
ID NLM: 0105072

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
01 03 2019
Historique:
received: 19 07 2018
revised: 22 11 2018
accepted: 29 11 2018
pubmed: 15 12 2018
medline: 26 9 2019
entrez: 15 12 2018
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

This paper aims to stimulate discussion based on the experiences derived from the QUICS project (Quantifying Uncertainty in Integrated Catchment Studies). First it briefly discusses the current state of knowledge on uncertainties in sub-models of integrated catchment models and the existing frameworks for analysing uncertainty. Furthermore, it compares the relative approaches of both building and calibrating fully integrated models or linking separate sub-models. It also discusses the implications of model linkage on overall uncertainty and how to define an acceptable level of model complexity. This discussion includes, whether we should shift our attention from uncertainties due to linkage, when using linked models, to uncertainties in model structure by necessary simplification or by using more parameters. This discussion attempts to address the question as to whether there is an increase in uncertainty by linking these models or if a compensation effect could take place and that overall uncertainty in key water quality parameters actually decreases. Finally, challenges in the application of uncertainty analysis in integrated catchment water quality modelling, as encountered in this project, are discussed and recommendations for future research areas are highlighted.

Identifiants

DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2018.11.079 PMID: 30550867
pubmed: 30550867
pii: S0043-1354(18)31009-1
doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2018.11.079
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Review

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

368-379

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.

Auteurs

Franz Tscheikner-Gratl (F)

Water Management Department, Civil Engineering and Geosciences, TU Delft, Stevinweg 1, 2628 CN, Delft, the Netherlands; Integral Design and Management, Civil Engineering and Geosciences, TU Delft, Stevinweg 1, 2628 CN, Delft, the Netherlands. Electronic address: F.Tscheikner-Gratl@tudelft.nl.

Vasilis Bellos (V)

Laboratory of Reclamation Works and Water Resources Management, School of Rural and Surveying Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 9, Iroon Polytechneiou Str, 15780, Zografou, Athens, Greece.

Alma Schellart (A)

Pennine Water Group, Department of Civil & Structural Engineering, University of Sheffield, Mappin Street, Sheffield, S1 3JD, UK.

Antonio Moreno-Rodenas (A)

Water Management Department, Civil Engineering and Geosciences, TU Delft, Stevinweg 1, 2628 CN, Delft, the Netherlands.

Manoranjan Muthusamy (M)

School of Water, Energy and Environment, Cranfield University, Cranfield, UK.

Jeroen Langeveld (J)

Water Management Department, Civil Engineering and Geosciences, TU Delft, Stevinweg 1, 2628 CN, Delft, the Netherlands.

Francois Clemens (F)

Water Management Department, Civil Engineering and Geosciences, TU Delft, Stevinweg 1, 2628 CN, Delft, the Netherlands; Deltares, Department of Hydraulic Engineering, PO Box 177, 2600 MH, Delft, the Netherlands.

Lorenzo Benedetti (L)

Waterways d.o.o, Gornji Vukojevac 10A, 44272, Lekenik, Croatia.

Miguel Angel Rico-Ramirez (MA)

University of Bristol, Department of Civil Engineering, BS8 1TR, Bristol, UK.

Rita Fernandes de Carvalho (RF)

MARE-Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Univ. of Coimbra, 3030-788, Coimbra, Portugal.

Lutz Breuer (L)

Institute for Landscape Ecology and Resources Management, Justus Liebig University Giessen, 35392, Giessen, Germany.

James Shucksmith (J)

Pennine Water Group, Department of Civil & Structural Engineering, University of Sheffield, Mappin Street, Sheffield, S1 3JD, UK.

Gerard B M Heuvelink (GBM)

Soil Geography and Landscape Group, Wageningen University & Research, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, Wageningen, 6708BP, the Netherlands.

Simon Tait (S)

Pennine Water Group, Department of Civil & Structural Engineering, University of Sheffield, Mappin Street, Sheffield, S1 3JD, UK.

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Classifications MeSH

questionsmedicales.fr › Techniques d'investigation › Modèles théoriques › Recent insights on uncertainties present in...
questionsmedicales.fr › Environnement et santé publique › Santé publique › Méthodes épidémiologiques › Statistiques comme sujet › Probabilité › Incertitude › Recent insights on uncertainties present in...
questionsmedicales.fr › Environnement et santé publique › Santé publique › Pollution de l'environnement › Pollution de l'eau › Qualité de l'eau › Recent insights on uncertainties present in...