Treatment with direct-acting antivirals for HCV decreases but does not eliminate the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma.


Journal

Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver
ISSN: 1478-3231
Titre abrégé: Liver Int
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 101160857

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
06 2019
Historique:
received: 21 09 2018
revised: 14 12 2018
accepted: 30 12 2018
pubmed: 14 1 2019
medline: 22 9 2020
entrez: 14 1 2019
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Data from Europe and North America have been published regarding the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after treatment with direct antiviral agents (DAA). We proposed to evaluate cumulative incidence and associated risk factors for de novo HCC. This was a prospective multicentre cohort study from Latin America including 1400 F1-F4-treated patients with DAAs (F3-F4 n = 1017). Cox proportional regression models (hazard ratios, HR and 95% CI) were used to evaluate independent associated variables with HCC. Further adjustment with competing risk regression and propensity score matching was carried out. During a median follow-up of 16 months (IQR 8.9-23.4 months) since DAAs initiation, overall cumulative incidence of HCC was 0.02 (CI 0.01; 0.03) at 12 months and 0.04 (CI 0.03; 0.06) at 24 months. Cumulative incidence of HCC in cirrhotic patients (n = 784) was 0.03 (CI 0.02-0.05) at 12 months and 0.06 (CI 0.04-0.08) at 24 months of follow-up. Failure to achieve SVR was independently associated with de novo HCC with a HR of 4.9 (CI 1.44; 17.32), after adjusting for diabetes mellitus, previous interferon non-responder, Child-Pugh and clinically significant portal hypertension. SVR presented an overall relative risk reduction for de novo HCC of 73% (CI 15%-91%), 17 patients were needed to be treated to prevent one case of de novo HCC in this cohort. Achieving SVR with DAA regimens was associated with a significant risk reduction in HCC. However, this risk remained high in patients with advanced fibrosis, thus demanding continuous surveillance strategies in this population.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND & AIMS
Data from Europe and North America have been published regarding the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after treatment with direct antiviral agents (DAA). We proposed to evaluate cumulative incidence and associated risk factors for de novo HCC.
METHODS
This was a prospective multicentre cohort study from Latin America including 1400 F1-F4-treated patients with DAAs (F3-F4 n = 1017). Cox proportional regression models (hazard ratios, HR and 95% CI) were used to evaluate independent associated variables with HCC. Further adjustment with competing risk regression and propensity score matching was carried out.
RESULTS
During a median follow-up of 16 months (IQR 8.9-23.4 months) since DAAs initiation, overall cumulative incidence of HCC was 0.02 (CI 0.01; 0.03) at 12 months and 0.04 (CI 0.03; 0.06) at 24 months. Cumulative incidence of HCC in cirrhotic patients (n = 784) was 0.03 (CI 0.02-0.05) at 12 months and 0.06 (CI 0.04-0.08) at 24 months of follow-up. Failure to achieve SVR was independently associated with de novo HCC with a HR of 4.9 (CI 1.44; 17.32), after adjusting for diabetes mellitus, previous interferon non-responder, Child-Pugh and clinically significant portal hypertension. SVR presented an overall relative risk reduction for de novo HCC of 73% (CI 15%-91%), 17 patients were needed to be treated to prevent one case of de novo HCC in this cohort.
CONCLUSIONS
Achieving SVR with DAA regimens was associated with a significant risk reduction in HCC. However, this risk remained high in patients with advanced fibrosis, thus demanding continuous surveillance strategies in this population.

Identifiants

pubmed: 30636361
doi: 10.1111/liv.14041
doi:

Substances chimiques

Antiviral Agents 0

Types de publication

Journal Article Multicenter Study Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

1033-1043

Informations de copyright

© 2019 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Auteurs

Federico Piñero (F)

Hospital Universitario Austral, Pilar, Argentina.

Manuel Mendizabal (M)

Hospital Universitario Austral, Pilar, Argentina.

Ezequiel Ridruejo (E)

Hospital Universitario Austral, Pilar, Argentina.
Centro de Educación Médica e Investigaciones Clínicas, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Fernando Herz Wolff (F)

Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil.

Beatriz Ameigeiras (B)

Hospital Ramos Mejía, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Margarita Anders (M)

Hospital Alemán, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

María Isabel Schinoni (MI)

Universidade Federal do Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.

Virginia Reggiardo (V)

Hospital Centenario de Rosario, Rosario, Argentina.

Ana Palazzo (A)

Hospital Padilla, San Miguel de Tucumán, Argentina.

María Videla (M)

Sanatorio Sagrado Corazón, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Cristina Alonso (C)

Hospital Universitario Austral, Pilar, Argentina.

Luisa Santos (L)

Fundación Cardioinfantil, Bogota, Colombia.

Adriana Varón (A)

Fundación Cardioinfantil, Bogota, Colombia.

Sebastián Figueroa (S)

Sanatorio Parque, Salta, Argentina.

Cecilia Vistarini (C)

Hospital Ramos Mejía, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Raúl Adrover (R)

Hospital San Roque, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Nora Fernández (N)

Hospital Británico, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Daniela Perez (D)

Hospital Padilla, San Miguel de Tucumán, Argentina.

Federico Tanno (F)

Hospital Centenario de Rosario, Rosario, Argentina.

Nelia Hernández (N)

Hospital Clínico, Montevideo, Uruguay.

Marcela Sixto (M)

Hospital Jose María Cullen, Santa Fe, Argentina.

Silvia Borzi (S)

Hospital Rossi, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Andres Bruno (A)

Hospital Cosme Argerich, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Daniel Cocozzella (D)

Hospital San Roque, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Alejandro Soza (A)

Hospital Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.

Valeria Descalzi (V)

Fundación Favaloro, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Claudio Estepo (C)

Hospital Cosme Argerich, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Alina Zerega (A)

Sanatorio Allende, Córdoba, Argentina.

Alexandre de Araujo (A)

Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, Brazil.

Hugo Cheinquer (H)

Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil.

Marcelo Silva (M)

Hospital Universitario Austral, Pilar, Argentina.

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Classifications MeSH