Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus.
Journal
Nature microbiology
ISSN: 2058-5276
Titre abrégé: Nat Microbiol
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101674869
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
05 2019
05 2019
Historique:
received:
20
11
2018
accepted:
18
01
2019
pubmed:
6
3
2019
medline:
27
6
2019
entrez:
6
3
2019
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases-including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika-is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of Ae. aegypti is characterized by long distance importations, while Ae. albopictus has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally.
Identifiants
pubmed: 30833735
doi: 10.1038/s41564-019-0376-y
pii: 10.1038/s41564-019-0376-y
pmc: PMC6522366
mid: EMS81409
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
854-863Subventions
Organisme : NLM NIH HHS
ID : R01 LM010812
Pays : United States
Organisme : NIAID NIH HHS
ID : P01 AI098670
Pays : United States
Organisme : NICHD NIH HHS
ID : T32 HD040128
Pays : United States
Organisme : NLM NIH HHS
ID : R01 LM011965
Pays : United States
Organisme : NIAID NIH HHS
ID : U19 AI089674
Pays : United States
Organisme : Wellcome Trust
Pays : United Kingdom
Organisme : Wellcome Trust
ID : 204311
Pays : United Kingdom
Commentaires et corrections
Type : ErratumIn
Type : ErratumIn
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