Nationally-representative serostudy of dengue in Bangladesh allows generalizable disease burden estimates.


Journal

eLife
ISSN: 2050-084X
Titre abrégé: Elife
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101579614

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
08 04 2019
Historique:
received: 15 10 2018
accepted: 04 04 2019
pubmed: 9 4 2019
medline: 29 2 2020
entrez: 9 4 2019
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Serostudies are needed to answer generalizable questions on disease risk. However, recruitment is usually biased by age or location. We present a nationally-representative study for dengue from 70 communities in Bangladesh. We collected data on risk factors, trapped mosquitoes and tested serum for IgG. Out of 5866 individuals, 24% had evidence of historic infection, ranging from 3% in the north to >80% in Dhaka. Being male (aOR:1.8, [95%CI:1.5-2.0]) and recent travel (aOR:1.3, [1.1-1.8]) were linked to seropositivity. We estimate that 40 million [34.3-47.2] people have been infected nationally, with 2.4 million ([1.3-4.5]) annual infections. Had we visited only 20 communities, seropositivity estimates would have ranged from 13% to 37%, highlighting the lack of representativeness generated by small numbers of communities. Our findings have implications for both the design of serosurveys and tackling dengue in Bangladesh.

Identifiants

pubmed: 30958263
doi: 10.7554/eLife.42869
pii: 42869
pmc: PMC6513551
doi:
pii:

Substances chimiques

Antibodies, Viral 0
Immunoglobulin G 0

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

HS, KP, RP, IR, ZR, MA, MR, HA, JH, EG No competing interests declared

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Auteurs

Henrik Salje (H)

Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, UMR2000, CNRS, Paris, France.
Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, United States.

Kishor Kumar Paul (KK)

International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Repon Paul (R)

International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer (I)

University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, United States.

Ziaur Rahman (Z)

International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Mohammad Shafiul Alam (MS)

International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Mahmadur Rahman (M)

Institute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research (IEDCR), Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Hasan Mohammad Al-Amin (HM)

International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh.

James Heffelfinger (J)

Division of Global Health Protection, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, United States.

Emily Gurley (E)

Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, United States.

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