Genomic Surveillance of Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus: A Mathematical Early Modeling Study of Cost-effectiveness.


Journal

Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
ISSN: 1537-6591
Titre abrégé: Clin Infect Dis
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 9203213

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
10 04 2020
Historique:
received: 04 03 2019
accepted: 17 06 2019
pubmed: 21 6 2019
medline: 7 1 2021
entrez: 21 6 2019
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Genomic surveillance of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) identifies unsuspected transmission events and outbreaks. Used proactively, this could direct early and highly targeted infection control interventions to prevent ongoing spread. Here, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of this intervention in a model that compared whole-genome sequencing plus current practice versus current practice alone. A UK cost-effectiveness study was conducted using an early model built from the perspective of the National Health Service and personal social services. The effectiveness of sequencing was based on the relative reduction in total MRSA acquisitions in a cohort of hospitalized patients in the year following their index admissions. A sensitivity analysis was used to illustrate and assess the level of confidence associated with the conclusions of our economic evaluation. A cohort of 65 000 patients were run through the model. Assuming that sequencing would result in a 90% reduction in MRSA acquisition, 290 new MRSA cases were avoided. This gave an absolute reduction of 28.8% and avoidance of 2 MRSA-related deaths. Base case results indicated that the use of routine, proactive MRSA sequencing would be associated with estimated cost savings of over £728 290 per annual hospitalized cohort. The impact in total quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) was relatively modest, with sequencing leading to an additional 14.28 QALYs gained. Results were most sensitive to changes in the probability of a MRSA-negative patient acquiring MRSA during their hospital admission. We showed that proactive genomic surveillance of MRSA is likely to be cost-effective. Further evaluation is required in the context of a prospective study.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND
Genomic surveillance of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) identifies unsuspected transmission events and outbreaks. Used proactively, this could direct early and highly targeted infection control interventions to prevent ongoing spread. Here, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of this intervention in a model that compared whole-genome sequencing plus current practice versus current practice alone.
METHODS
A UK cost-effectiveness study was conducted using an early model built from the perspective of the National Health Service and personal social services. The effectiveness of sequencing was based on the relative reduction in total MRSA acquisitions in a cohort of hospitalized patients in the year following their index admissions. A sensitivity analysis was used to illustrate and assess the level of confidence associated with the conclusions of our economic evaluation.
RESULTS
A cohort of 65 000 patients were run through the model. Assuming that sequencing would result in a 90% reduction in MRSA acquisition, 290 new MRSA cases were avoided. This gave an absolute reduction of 28.8% and avoidance of 2 MRSA-related deaths. Base case results indicated that the use of routine, proactive MRSA sequencing would be associated with estimated cost savings of over £728 290 per annual hospitalized cohort. The impact in total quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) was relatively modest, with sequencing leading to an additional 14.28 QALYs gained. Results were most sensitive to changes in the probability of a MRSA-negative patient acquiring MRSA during their hospital admission.
CONCLUSIONS
We showed that proactive genomic surveillance of MRSA is likely to be cost-effective. Further evaluation is required in the context of a prospective study.

Identifiants

pubmed: 31219153
pii: 5521015
doi: 10.1093/cid/ciz480
pmc: PMC7145999
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

1613-1619

Subventions

Organisme : Wellcome Trust
Pays : United Kingdom
Organisme : Wellcome Trust
ID : 201344/Z/16/Z
Pays : United Kingdom

Informations de copyright

© The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America.

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Auteurs

Amy Dymond (A)

York Health Economics Consortium, United Kingdom.

Heather Davies (H)

York Health Economics Consortium, United Kingdom.

Stuart Mealing (S)

York Health Economics Consortium, United Kingdom.

Vicki Pollit (V)

York Health Economics Consortium, United Kingdom.

Francesc Coll (F)

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom.

Nicholas M Brown (NM)

Cambridge University Hospitals National Health Service Foundation Trust, United Kingdom.

Sharon J Peacock (SJ)

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom.
Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom.

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