Trajectories of Non-HDL Cholesterol Across Midlife: Implications for Cardiovascular Prevention.


Journal

Journal of the American College of Cardiology
ISSN: 1558-3597
Titre abrégé: J Am Coll Cardiol
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 8301365

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
09 07 2019
Historique:
received: 28 11 2018
revised: 19 03 2019
accepted: 23 04 2019
entrez: 6 7 2019
pubmed: 6 7 2019
medline: 21 5 2020
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Extended elevations of non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) across a lifespan are associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, optimal testing intervals to identify individuals with high lipid-related CVD risk are unknown. This study determined the extent to which lipid levels in young adulthood predict future lipid trajectories and associated long-term CVD risk. A sample of 2,516 Framingham Offspring study participants 25 to 40 years of age free of CVD and diabetes had their non-HDL-C progression modeled over 8 study examinations (mean follow-up 32.6 years) using group-based methods. CVD risk based on 25 to 30 years of follow-up was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analyses for those with mean non-HDL-C ≥160 mg/dl ("high") and <130 mg/dl ("low") at the first 2 examinations. Levels of non-HDL-C for participants on lipid treatment were adjusted by nonparametric algorithm. The trajectories of the lipid levels were generally stable over the 30-year life course; mean non-HDL-C measured in young adulthood were highly predictive of levels later in life. Individuals could be reliably assigned to high and low non-HDL-C groups based on 2 measurements collected between 25 to 40 years of age. Overall, 80% of those with non-HDL-C ≥160 mg/dl at the first 2 exams remained in the high group on subsequent 25-year testing, whereas 88% of those with non-HDL-C <130 mg/dl remained below 160 mg/dl. Those with high non-HDL-C in young adulthood had a 22.6% risk of CVD in the next 25 years as compared with a 6.4% risk in those with low non-HDL-C. Most adults with elevated non-HDL-C early in life continue to have high non-HDL-C over their life course, leading to significantly increased risk of CVD. The results demonstrate that early lipid monitoring before 40 years of age would identify a majority of those with a high likelihood for lifetime elevated lipid levels who also have a high long-term risk for CVD. This information could facilitate informed patient-provider discussion about the potential benefits of preventive lipid-lowering efforts during the early midlife period.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND
Extended elevations of non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) across a lifespan are associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, optimal testing intervals to identify individuals with high lipid-related CVD risk are unknown.
OBJECTIVES
This study determined the extent to which lipid levels in young adulthood predict future lipid trajectories and associated long-term CVD risk.
METHODS
A sample of 2,516 Framingham Offspring study participants 25 to 40 years of age free of CVD and diabetes had their non-HDL-C progression modeled over 8 study examinations (mean follow-up 32.6 years) using group-based methods. CVD risk based on 25 to 30 years of follow-up was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analyses for those with mean non-HDL-C ≥160 mg/dl ("high") and <130 mg/dl ("low") at the first 2 examinations. Levels of non-HDL-C for participants on lipid treatment were adjusted by nonparametric algorithm.
RESULTS
The trajectories of the lipid levels were generally stable over the 30-year life course; mean non-HDL-C measured in young adulthood were highly predictive of levels later in life. Individuals could be reliably assigned to high and low non-HDL-C groups based on 2 measurements collected between 25 to 40 years of age. Overall, 80% of those with non-HDL-C ≥160 mg/dl at the first 2 exams remained in the high group on subsequent 25-year testing, whereas 88% of those with non-HDL-C <130 mg/dl remained below 160 mg/dl. Those with high non-HDL-C in young adulthood had a 22.6% risk of CVD in the next 25 years as compared with a 6.4% risk in those with low non-HDL-C.
CONCLUSIONS
Most adults with elevated non-HDL-C early in life continue to have high non-HDL-C over their life course, leading to significantly increased risk of CVD. The results demonstrate that early lipid monitoring before 40 years of age would identify a majority of those with a high likelihood for lifetime elevated lipid levels who also have a high long-term risk for CVD. This information could facilitate informed patient-provider discussion about the potential benefits of preventive lipid-lowering efforts during the early midlife period.

Identifiants

pubmed: 31272554
pii: S0735-1097(19)35146-0
doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2019.04.047
pmc: PMC7346311
mid: NIHMS1597595
pii:
doi:

Substances chimiques

Cholesterol, HDL 0

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

70-79

Subventions

Organisme : NHLBI NIH HHS
ID : K01 HL133416
Pays : United States
Organisme : NHLBI NIH HHS
ID : K23 HL133601
Pays : United States

Commentaires et corrections

Type : CommentIn

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2019 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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Auteurs

Karol M Pencina (KM)

Section on Men's Health Aging and Metabolism, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts. Electronic address: kpencina@bwh.harvard.edu.

George Thanassoulis (G)

Department of Medicine, Division of Experimental Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.

John T Wilkins (JT)

Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois.

Ramachandran S Vasan (RS)

Framingham Heart Study, Section of Preventive Medicine, Department of Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts; Section of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts; Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.

Ann Marie Navar (AM)

Duke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, North Carolina.

Eric D Peterson (ED)

Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina.

Michael J Pencina (MJ)

Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina.

Allan D Sniderman (AD)

Division of Experimental Medicine, Department of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.

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Classifications MeSH