Cause-Specific Risk Factors of Death in Individuals with Diabetes: A Competing Risks Modeling.

CVA CVD Cancer Competing Risks Diabetes Mortality

Journal

International journal of endocrinology and metabolism
ISSN: 1726-913X
Titre abrégé: Int J Endocrinol Metab
Pays: Netherlands
ID NLM: 101235597

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
Jul 2019
Historique:
received: 15 04 2018
revised: 16 04 2019
accepted: 18 05 2019
entrez: 10 9 2019
pubmed: 10 9 2019
medline: 10 9 2019
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Diabetes is on the rise worldwide. This study aimed to evaluate the risk factors of various causes of death in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D). In this cohort study on 2638 people with T2D, we applied cause-specific and sub-distribution hazards models to assess the impact of various factors on the risk of death. Moreover, we plotted a cumulative incidence curve to summarize cumulative failure rates over time. About 75% of individuals with T2D died from cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cerebrovascular accidents (CVA). Death from CVD was associated with the increased risk of hypertension (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.83, 95% CI: 1.37 - 2.46), hypercholesterolemia (HR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.17 - 2.14), and diabetes duration. The risk of death from CVA was related to hypertension (HR = 2.76, 95% CI: 1.67 - 4.55) and hyperglycemia (HR = 4.34, 95% CI: 1.75 - 10.79). The CVA risk in patients with diabetes duration of 10 - 20 years was higher than the risk in patients with diabetes duration > 20 years (diabetes duration of ≤ 10 years as the reference category). Diabetes duration of longer than 20 years was associated with a higher risk of death from cancer (HR = 2.65, 95% CI: 1.05 - 6.68). The risk of death from foot infection and diabetic nephropathy increased in patients with longer diabetes duration after adjustment for sex, age, and body mass index. Regardless of the cause, death rates in people with T2D increase over time and risk factors have different impacts on death from each cause. This should be acknowledged in risk management in individuals with T2D.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
Diabetes is on the rise worldwide.
OBJECTIVES OBJECTIVE
This study aimed to evaluate the risk factors of various causes of death in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D).
METHODS METHODS
In this cohort study on 2638 people with T2D, we applied cause-specific and sub-distribution hazards models to assess the impact of various factors on the risk of death. Moreover, we plotted a cumulative incidence curve to summarize cumulative failure rates over time.
RESULTS RESULTS
About 75% of individuals with T2D died from cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cerebrovascular accidents (CVA). Death from CVD was associated with the increased risk of hypertension (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.83, 95% CI: 1.37 - 2.46), hypercholesterolemia (HR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.17 - 2.14), and diabetes duration. The risk of death from CVA was related to hypertension (HR = 2.76, 95% CI: 1.67 - 4.55) and hyperglycemia (HR = 4.34, 95% CI: 1.75 - 10.79). The CVA risk in patients with diabetes duration of 10 - 20 years was higher than the risk in patients with diabetes duration > 20 years (diabetes duration of ≤ 10 years as the reference category). Diabetes duration of longer than 20 years was associated with a higher risk of death from cancer (HR = 2.65, 95% CI: 1.05 - 6.68). The risk of death from foot infection and diabetic nephropathy increased in patients with longer diabetes duration after adjustment for sex, age, and body mass index.
CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS
Regardless of the cause, death rates in people with T2D increase over time and risk factors have different impacts on death from each cause. This should be acknowledged in risk management in individuals with T2D.

Identifiants

pubmed: 31497037
doi: 10.5812/ijem.69419
pmc: PMC6678678
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Pagination

e69419

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Conflicts of Interests: It is not declared by the authors.

Références

Diabetes Care. 2000 Aug;23(8):1119-23
pubmed: 10937508
J Am Coll Cardiol. 2002 Sep 4;40(5):954-60
pubmed: 12225722
Clin Cardiol. 2003 Jan;26(1 Suppl 1):I3-6
pubmed: 12539815
N Engl J Med. 2003 Jan 30;348(5):383-93
pubmed: 12556541
Hypertension. 2003 Dec;42(6):1206-52
pubmed: 14656957
Diabet Med. 2004 Apr;21(4):311-7
pubmed: 15049931
Am J Epidemiol. 2004 Sep 15;160(6):531-9
pubmed: 15353413
Diabet Med. 1992 May;9(4):354-8
pubmed: 1600707
Diabetes Care. 2006 Aug;29(8):1727-32
pubmed: 16873771
Diabetes Care. 2007 Jul;30(7):1730-5
pubmed: 17389335
Diabetes Care. 2008 Jun;31(6):1132-7
pubmed: 18339972
CA Cancer J Clin. 2010 Jul-Aug;60(4):207-21
pubmed: 20554718
BMC Med Res Methodol. 2010 Oct 21;10:97
pubmed: 20964855
Mol Cell Biochem. 2011 Apr;350(1-2):113-8
pubmed: 21153685
Diabetes Res Clin Pract. 2011 Feb;91(2):246-52
pubmed: 21156326
J Am Soc Nephrol. 2011 Mar;22(3):537-44
pubmed: 21335512
J Cardiol. 2011 May;57(3):257-62
pubmed: 21367583
Arch Intern Med. 2011 Mar 14;171(5):404-10
pubmed: 21403036
Hypertension. 2011 May;57(5):891-7
pubmed: 21403089
Stat Med. 2012 May 20;31(11-12):1089-97
pubmed: 21953401
East Mediterr Health J. 2011 Sep;17(9):640-6
pubmed: 22259913
Clin Cancer Res. 2012 Apr 15;18(8):2301-8
pubmed: 22282466
Stroke. 2012 May;43(5):1212-7
pubmed: 22382158
Curr Diab Rep. 2012 Jun;12(3):314-23
pubmed: 22492061
N Engl J Med. 1990 Jun 7;322(23):1635-41
pubmed: 2288563
Am J Med. 2012 Oct;125(10):S2-3
pubmed: 22998892
BMC Cancer. 2012 Dec 22;12:613
pubmed: 23259613
Blood Press. 2013 Aug;22(4):193-278
pubmed: 23777479
ISRN Endocrinol. 2013 Sep 24;2013:636927
pubmed: 24224094
Br J Cancer. 2014 Jul 8;111(1):181-5
pubmed: 24786605
Circulation. 2016 Feb 9;133(6):601-9
pubmed: 26858290
J Res Med Sci. 2015 Oct;20(10):944-9
pubmed: 26929758
Adv Biomed Res. 2016 May 11;5:82
pubmed: 27274497
J Diabetes Complications. 2016 Aug;30(6):1050-5
pubmed: 27311785
Diabetes Care. 2016 Nov;39(11):1987-1995
pubmed: 27493134
Int J Cancer. 2017 Sep 15;141(6):1170-1180
pubmed: 28593629
Stroke. 1996 Jan;27(1):63-8
pubmed: 8553405
Endocrinol Metab Clin North Am. 1996 Jun;25(2):447-62
pubmed: 8799709
Circulation. 1998 Mar 24;97(11):1087-94
pubmed: 9531256

Auteurs

Marjan Mansourian (M)

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.

Sahar Sadeghpour (S)

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.

Ashraf Aminorroaya (A)

Isfahan Endocrine and Metabolism Research Centre, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.

Masoud Amini (M)

Isfahan Endocrine and Metabolism Research Centre, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.

Tohid Jafari-Koshki (T)

Medical Education Research Center, Health Management and Safety Promotion Research Institute, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.
Department of Statistics and Epidemiology, Faculty of Health, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.

Classifications MeSH