External validation of novel magnetic resonance imaging-based models for prostate cancer prediction.


Journal

BJU international
ISSN: 1464-410X
Titre abrégé: BJU Int
Pays: England
ID NLM: 100886721

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
03 2020
Historique:
pubmed: 24 11 2019
medline: 31 7 2020
entrez: 24 11 2019
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

To validate, in an external cohort, three novel risk models, including the recently updated European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) risk calculator, that combine multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) and clinical variables to predict clinically significant prostate cancer (PCa). We retrospectively analysed 307 men who underwent mpMRI prior to transperineal ultrasound fusion biopsy between October 2015 and July 2018 at two German centres. mpMRI was rated by Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) v2.0 and clinically significant PCa was defined as International Society of Urological Pathology Gleason grade group ≥2. The prediction performance of the three models (MRI-ERSPC-3/4, and two risk models published by Radtke et al. and Distler et al., ModRad and ModDis) were compared using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses, with area under the ROC curve (AUC), calibration curve analyses and decision curves used to assess net benefit. The AUCs of the three novel models (MRI-ERSPC-3/4, ModRad and ModDis) were 0.82, 0.85 and 0.83, respectively. Calibration curve analyses showed the best intercept for MRI-ERSPC-3 and -4 of 0.35 and 0.76. Net benefit analyses indicated clear benefit of the MRI-ERSPC-3/4 risk models compared with the other two validated models. The MRI-ERSPC-3/4 risk models demonstrated a discrimination benefit for a risk threshold of up to 15% for clinically significant PCa as compared to the other risk models. In our external validation of three novel prostate cancer risk models, which incorporate mpMRI findings, a head-to-head comparison indicated that the MRI-ERSPC-3/4 risk model in particular could help to reduce unnecessary biopsies.

Identifiants

pubmed: 31758738
doi: 10.1111/bju.14958
doi:

Types de publication

Comparative Study Journal Article Validation Study

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

407-416

Commentaires et corrections

Type : CommentIn

Informations de copyright

© 2019 The Authors BJU International © 2019 BJU International Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Références

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Auteurs

Lukas Püllen (L)

Department of Urology, University Hospital Essen, Nordrhein-Westfalen, Germany.

Jan P Radtke (JP)

Department of Urology, University Hospital Essen, Nordrhein-Westfalen, Germany.
Department of Radiology, German Cancer Research Centre (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.

Manuel Wiesenfarth (M)

Division of Biostatistics, German Cancer Research Centre (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.

Monique J Roobol (MJ)

Department of Urology, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Jan F M Verbeek (JFM)

Department of Urology, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Axel Wetter (A)

Department of Radiology, University Hospital Essen, Nordrhein-Westfalen, Germany.

Nika Guberina (N)

Department of Radiology, University Hospital Essen, Nordrhein-Westfalen, Germany.

Abhishek Pandey (A)

Department of Urology, Paracelsus Medical University Nuremberg, Nürnberg, Germany.

Clemens Hüttenbrink (C)

Department of Urology, Paracelsus Medical University Nuremberg, Nürnberg, Germany.

Stephan Tschirdewahn (S)

Department of Urology, University Hospital Essen, Nordrhein-Westfalen, Germany.

Sascha Pahernik (S)

Department of Urology, Paracelsus Medical University Nuremberg, Nürnberg, Germany.

Boris A Hadaschik (BA)

Department of Urology, University Hospital Essen, Nordrhein-Westfalen, Germany.

Florian A Distler (FA)

Department of Urology, Paracelsus Medical University Nuremberg, Nürnberg, Germany.

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