Lymelight: forecasting Lyme disease risk using web search data.

Computational science Epidemiology Infectious diseases

Journal

NPJ digital medicine
ISSN: 2398-6352
Titre abrégé: NPJ Digit Med
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101731738

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
2020
Historique:
received: 29 04 2019
accepted: 19 12 2019
entrez: 13 2 2020
pubmed: 13 2 2020
medline: 13 2 2020
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Lyme disease is the most common tick-borne disease in the Northern Hemisphere. Existing estimates of Lyme disease spread are delayed a year or more. We introduce Lymelight-a new method for monitoring the incidence of Lyme disease in real-time. We use a machine-learned classifier of web search sessions to estimate the number of individuals who search for possible Lyme disease symptoms in a given geographical area for two years, 2014 and 2015. We evaluate Lymelight using the official case count data from CDC and find a 92% correlation (

Identifiants

pubmed: 32047861
doi: 10.1038/s41746-020-0222-x
pii: 222
pmc: PMC7000681
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Pagination

16

Subventions

Organisme : NLM NIH HHS
ID : R01 LM010812
Pays : United States

Informations de copyright

© The Author(s) 2020.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Competing interestsThe authors declare no competing interests.

Références

Int J Parasitol. 2006 Jan;36(1):63-70
pubmed: 16229849
J Epidemiol Glob Health. 2017 Sep;7(3):185-189
pubmed: 28756828
Am J Epidemiol. 2000 Oct 15;152(8):756-9
pubmed: 11052554
BMJ. 2015 Dec 03;351:h6520
pubmed: 26634936
Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis. 2004 Summer;4(2):143-8
pubmed: 15228815
PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2014 Feb 27;8(2):e2713
pubmed: 24587465
Clin Infect Dis. 2009 Nov 15;49(10):1557-64
pubmed: 19845471
Clin Infect Dis. 1996 May;22(5):809-12
pubmed: 8722936
J Med Internet Res. 2013 Jun 18;15(6):e124
pubmed: 23778053
JAMA Dermatol. 2014 Nov;150(11):1202-4
pubmed: 25162635
Clin Infect Dis. 2015 Dec 15;61(12):1800-6
pubmed: 26385994
Environ Health Perspect. 2010 Jul;118(7):909-14
pubmed: 20421192
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 Nov 24;112(47):14473-8
pubmed: 26553980
J Med Internet Res. 2018 Apr 24;20(4):e134
pubmed: 29691210
BMC Infect Dis. 2017 May 8;17(1):332
pubmed: 28482810
Infect Dis Clin North Am. 2015 Jun;29(2):309-23
pubmed: 25999226
Int J Epidemiol. 2006 Apr;35(2):315-22
pubmed: 16394113
JAMA. 1999 Jul 7;282(1):62-6
pubmed: 10404913
J Pediatric Infect Dis Soc. 2018 Feb 19;7(1):56-63
pubmed: 28369477
J Med Internet Res. 2005 Jul 01;7(3):e36
pubmed: 15998627
J Am Anim Hosp Assoc. 2003 Nov-Dec;39(6):558-62
pubmed: 14736722
MMWR Suppl. 2014 Sep 26;63(3):1-14
pubmed: 25254986
Int J Health Geogr. 2008 May 22;7:24
pubmed: 18498647
Int J Infect Dis. 2013 Jun;17(6):e443-9
pubmed: 23462300
Int J Med Microbiol. 2004 Apr;293 Suppl 37:5-15
pubmed: 15146980
Clin Infect Dis. 2010 Jul 1;51(1):1-5
pubmed: 20504239
Am J Prev Med. 2014 Sep;47(3):341-7
pubmed: 24997572
Am J Med. 2013 Aug;126(8):665-9
pubmed: 23764268
Clin Infect Dis. 2006 Nov 1;43(9):1089-134
pubmed: 17029130
PLoS Pathog. 2014 Jan;10(1):e1003796
pubmed: 24391491
Curr Opin Rheumatol. 2001 Sep;13(5):434-40
pubmed: 11604601
PLoS Biol. 2006 Jun;4(6):e145
pubmed: 16669698
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2008 Jan 18;57(2):42-5
pubmed: 18199968
J Clin Invest. 2004 Apr;113(8):1093-101
pubmed: 15085185
Arthritis Rheumatol. 2017 Jan;69(1):194-202
pubmed: 27636905
Clin Infect Dis. 2005 Mar 15;40(6):800-6
pubmed: 15736011
Lancet. 2006 Mar 11;367(9513):859-69
pubmed: 16530580
Am J Med. 1999 Mar;106(3):292-9
pubmed: 10190377
Ecology. 2018 Jul;99(7):1562-1573
pubmed: 29738078
Emerg Infect Dis. 2009 Aug;15(8):1327-8
pubmed: 19751610
Am J Public Health. 2017 Jul;107(7):1130-1136
pubmed: 28520492
Nature. 2009 Feb 19;457(7232):1012-4
pubmed: 19020500
JAMA. 2013 Sep 18;310(11):1110
pubmed: 24045727
Int J Parasitol. 2000 Nov;30(12-13):1323-37
pubmed: 11113258
Public Health. 2014 Sep;128(9):784-91
pubmed: 25213101
Science. 1993 Jun 11;260(5114):1610-6
pubmed: 8503006
Zoonoses Public Health. 2019 Feb;66(1):101-107
pubmed: 30447056
Arch Intern Med. 1996 Jul 22;156(14):1493-500
pubmed: 8687256
Ann Transl Med. 2019 Jan;7(1):15
pubmed: 30788362
J Clin Invest. 1983 Jan;71(1):15-26
pubmed: 6848556
J Oncol Pract. 2016 Aug;12(8):737-44
pubmed: 27271506
Qual Life Res. 2013 Feb;22(1):75-84
pubmed: 22294245
Expert Rev Anti Infect Ther. 2015;13(11):1303-6
pubmed: 26489537
Am J Epidemiol. 2003 Mar 15;157(6):531-8
pubmed: 12631543
Expert Rev Anti Infect Ther. 2011 Jul;9(7):787-97
pubmed: 21810051
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2014 Oct;91(4):747-55
pubmed: 25048372
Science. 2014 Mar 14;343(6176):1203-5
pubmed: 24626916
J Autoimmun. 2015 Feb;57:82-115
pubmed: 25451629
Environ Health Perspect. 2003 Jul;111(9):1152-7
pubmed: 12842766
PLoS One. 2014 Oct 22;9(10):e109583
pubmed: 25337815
PLoS One. 2011;6(8):e23610
pubmed: 21886802
Geospat Health. 2010 May;4(2):135-7
pubmed: 20503183
N Engl J Med. 2016 Mar 31;374(13):1209-20
pubmed: 27028911
NPJ Digit Med. 2018 Nov 6;1:36
pubmed: 31304318
Curr Opin Rheumatol. 2002 Jul;14(4):383-7
pubmed: 12118171
Health Place. 1999 Jun;5(2):157-71
pubmed: 10670997
Infect Dis Clin North Am. 2015 Jun;29(2):269-80
pubmed: 25999223
Ecohealth. 2005 Mar;2(1):38-46
pubmed: 19008966
Am J Epidemiol. 1990 May;131(5):877-85
pubmed: 2321630

Auteurs

Adam Sadilek (A)

1Google, Mountain View, CA USA.

Yulin Hswen (Y)

2Department of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA USA.
3Computational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA USA.

Tomer Shekel (T)

1Google, Mountain View, CA USA.

John S Brownstein (JS)

3Computational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA USA.
4Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Massachusetts, USA.

Classifications MeSH