Epidemic cystic and alveolar echinococcosis in Kyrgyzstan: an analysis of national surveillance data.


Journal

The Lancet. Global health
ISSN: 2214-109X
Titre abrégé: Lancet Glob Health
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101613665

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
04 2020
Historique:
received: 07 08 2019
revised: 07 01 2020
accepted: 24 01 2020
pubmed: 22 3 2020
medline: 2 7 2020
entrez: 22 3 2020
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Human cystic and alveolar echinococcosis are among the priority neglected zoonotic diseases for which WHO advocates control. The incidence of both cystic echinococcosis and alveolar echinococcosis has increased substantially in the past 30 years in Kyrgyzstan. Given the scarcity of adequate data on the local geographical variation of these focal diseases, we aimed to investigate within-country incidence and geographical variation of cystic echinococcosis and alveolar echinococcosis at a high spatial resolution in Kyrgyzstan. We mapped all confirmed surgical cases of cystic echinococcosis and alveolar echinococcosis reported through the national echinococcosis surveillance system in Kyrgyzstan between Jan 1, 2014, and Dec 31, 2016, from nine regional databases. We then estimated crude surgical incidence, standardised incidence, and standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) of primary cases (ie, excluding relapses) based on age and sex at country, region, district, and local community levels. Finally, we tested the SIRs for global and local spatial autocorrelation to identify disease hotspots at the local community level. All incidence estimates were calculated per 100 000 population and averaged across the 3-year study period to obtain annual estimates. The surveillance system reported 2359 primary surgical cases of cystic echinococcosis and 546 primary surgical cases of alveolar echinococcosis. Country-level crude surgical incidence was 13·1 per 100 000 population per year for cystic echinococcosis and 3·02 per 100 000 population per year for alveolar echinococcosis. At the local community level, we found annual crude surgical incidences up to 176 per 100 000 population in Sary-Kamysh (Jalal-Abad region) for cystic echinococcosis and 246 per 100 000 population in Uch-Dobo (Alay district, Osh region) for alveolar echinococcosis. Significant hotspots of cystic echinococcosis were found in four regions: Osh (five local communities in Uzgen district and four in Alay district), Naryn (three local communities in Jumgal district and one in Naryn district), Talas (three local communities in Talas district), and Chuy (one local community in Jayyl district). Significant alveolar echinococcosis hotspots were detected in the Osh region (11 communities in Alay district, including the local community of Sary Mogol, and one in Chong-Alay district) and in the Naryn region (five communities in Jumgal district and three in At-Bashy district), in the southwest and centre of the country. Our analyses reveal remarkable within-country variation in the surgical incidence of cystic echinococcosis and alveolar echinococcosis in Kyrgyzstan. These high-resolution maps identify precise locations where interventions and epidemiological research should be targeted to reduce the burden of human cystic echinococcosis and alveolar echinococcosis. Swiss National Science Foundation.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND
Human cystic and alveolar echinococcosis are among the priority neglected zoonotic diseases for which WHO advocates control. The incidence of both cystic echinococcosis and alveolar echinococcosis has increased substantially in the past 30 years in Kyrgyzstan. Given the scarcity of adequate data on the local geographical variation of these focal diseases, we aimed to investigate within-country incidence and geographical variation of cystic echinococcosis and alveolar echinococcosis at a high spatial resolution in Kyrgyzstan.
METHODS
We mapped all confirmed surgical cases of cystic echinococcosis and alveolar echinococcosis reported through the national echinococcosis surveillance system in Kyrgyzstan between Jan 1, 2014, and Dec 31, 2016, from nine regional databases. We then estimated crude surgical incidence, standardised incidence, and standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) of primary cases (ie, excluding relapses) based on age and sex at country, region, district, and local community levels. Finally, we tested the SIRs for global and local spatial autocorrelation to identify disease hotspots at the local community level. All incidence estimates were calculated per 100 000 population and averaged across the 3-year study period to obtain annual estimates.
FINDINGS
The surveillance system reported 2359 primary surgical cases of cystic echinococcosis and 546 primary surgical cases of alveolar echinococcosis. Country-level crude surgical incidence was 13·1 per 100 000 population per year for cystic echinococcosis and 3·02 per 100 000 population per year for alveolar echinococcosis. At the local community level, we found annual crude surgical incidences up to 176 per 100 000 population in Sary-Kamysh (Jalal-Abad region) for cystic echinococcosis and 246 per 100 000 population in Uch-Dobo (Alay district, Osh region) for alveolar echinococcosis. Significant hotspots of cystic echinococcosis were found in four regions: Osh (five local communities in Uzgen district and four in Alay district), Naryn (three local communities in Jumgal district and one in Naryn district), Talas (three local communities in Talas district), and Chuy (one local community in Jayyl district). Significant alveolar echinococcosis hotspots were detected in the Osh region (11 communities in Alay district, including the local community of Sary Mogol, and one in Chong-Alay district) and in the Naryn region (five communities in Jumgal district and three in At-Bashy district), in the southwest and centre of the country.
INTERPRETATION
Our analyses reveal remarkable within-country variation in the surgical incidence of cystic echinococcosis and alveolar echinococcosis in Kyrgyzstan. These high-resolution maps identify precise locations where interventions and epidemiological research should be targeted to reduce the burden of human cystic echinococcosis and alveolar echinococcosis.
FUNDING
Swiss National Science Foundation.

Identifiants

pubmed: 32199126
pii: S2214-109X(20)30038-3
doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30038-3
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

e603-e611

Commentaires et corrections

Type : CommentIn

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.

Auteurs

Giulia Paternoster (G)

Section of Epidemiology, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Life Science Zurich Graduate School, ETH Zurich and University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

Gianluca Boo (G)

WorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.

Craig Wang (C)

Vetsuisse Faculty, Department of Mathematics, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Life Science Zurich Graduate School, ETH Zurich and University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

Gulnara Minbaeva (G)

Government Sanito-Epidemiology Unit, Ministry of Health of the Kyrgyz Republic, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan.

Jumagul Usubalieva (J)

Government Sanito-Epidemiology Unit, Ministry of Health of the Kyrgyz Republic, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan.

Kursanbek Mamasalievich Raimkulov (KM)

Center for Disease Prevention and Sanitary Epidemiological Surveillance of Osh region, Ministry of Health of the Kyrgyz Republic, Osh, Kyrgyzstan.

Abdykadyr Zhoroev (A)

Government Sanito-Epidemiology Unit, Ministry of Health of the Kyrgyz Republic, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan.

Kubanychbek Kudaibergenovich Abdykerimov (KK)

Section of Epidemiology, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Institute of Parasitology, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Kyrgyz Research Institute of Veterinary Science named after A Duisheev, Ministry of Education and Science of the Kyrgyz Republic, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan.

Philipp Andreas Kronenberg (PA)

Institute of Parasitology, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Graduate School for Cellular and Biomedical Sciences, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.

Beat Müllhaupt (B)

Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospital Zurich, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

Reinhard Furrer (R)

Vetsuisse Faculty, Department of Mathematics, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Department of Computational Science, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

Peter Deplazes (P)

Institute of Parasitology, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

Paul Robert Torgerson (PR)

Section of Epidemiology, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland. Electronic address: paul.torgerson@access.uzh.ch.

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