Emerging human infectious diseases and the links to global food production.
Agriculture
Developing world
Diseases
Ecological epidemiology
Risk factors
Journal
Nature sustainability
ISSN: 2398-9629
Titre abrégé: Nat Sustain
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101732409
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
2019
2019
Historique:
received:
25
09
2018
accepted:
17
04
2019
entrez:
29
3
2020
pubmed:
1
1
2019
medline:
1
1
2019
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Infectious diseases are emerging globally at an unprecedented rate while global food demand is projected to increase sharply by 2100. Here, we synthesize the pathways by which projected agricultural expansion and intensification will influence human infectious diseases and how human infectious diseases might likewise affect food production and distribution. Feeding 11 billion people will require substantial increases in crop and animal production that will expand agricultural use of antibiotics, water, pesticides and fertilizer, and contact rates between humans and both wild and domestic animals, all with consequences for the emergence and spread of infectious agents. Indeed, our synthesis of the literature suggests that, since 1940, agricultural drivers were associated with >25% of all - and >50% of zoonotic - infectious diseases that emerged in humans, proportions that will likely increase as agriculture expands and intensifies. We identify agricultural and disease management and policy actions, and additional research, needed to address the public health challenge posed by feeding 11 billion people.
Identifiants
pubmed: 32219187
doi: 10.1038/s41893-019-0293-3
pii: 293
pmc: PMC7091874
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Review
Langues
eng
Pagination
445-456Subventions
Organisme : NIAID NIH HHS
ID : R01 AI125842
Pays : United States
Informations de copyright
© Springer Nature Limited 2019.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
Competing interestsThe authors declare no competing interests.
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