The effect of the Iranian health transformation plan on hospitalization rate: insights from an interrupted time series analysis.

Health policy Health transformation plan Hospitalization rate Interrupted time series analysis Iran

Journal

BMC health services research
ISSN: 1472-6963
Titre abrégé: BMC Health Serv Res
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101088677

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
19 Apr 2020
Historique:
received: 13 10 2019
accepted: 05 04 2020
entrez: 21 4 2020
pubmed: 21 4 2020
medline: 20 11 2020
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Healthcare policy- and decision-makers make efforts to build and maintain high-performing and effective health systems, implementing effectiveness programs and health reforms. In May 2014, the Iranian Ministry of Health and Medical Education has launched a series of ambitious reforms, known as the Health Transformation Plan (HTP). This study aimed to determine the effect of the HTP on hospitalization rate in Iranian public hospitals affiliated to the Ministry of Health and Medical Education. This study was designed as a quasi-experimental, counterfactual study utilizing the interrupted time series analysis (ITSA), comparing the trend of hospitalization rate before and after the HTP implementation in 16 hospitals in the Lorestan province. Data was collected from March 2012 to February 2019. In the first month of the HTP implementation, an increase of 2.627 [95% CI: 1.62-3.63] was noted (P < 0.001). Hospitalization rate increased by 0.68 [95% CI: 0.32-0.85] after the HTP implementation compared to the first month after the launch of the HTP (P < 0.001). After the HTP implementation, monthly hospitalization rate per 1000 persons significantly increased by 0.049 [95% CI: 0.023-0.076] (P < 0.001). The HTP implementation has resulted in an increased hospitalization rate. Health planners should continue to further improve this service. ITSA can play a role in evaluating the impact of a given health policy.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
Healthcare policy- and decision-makers make efforts to build and maintain high-performing and effective health systems, implementing effectiveness programs and health reforms. In May 2014, the Iranian Ministry of Health and Medical Education has launched a series of ambitious reforms, known as the Health Transformation Plan (HTP). This study aimed to determine the effect of the HTP on hospitalization rate in Iranian public hospitals affiliated to the Ministry of Health and Medical Education.
METHODS METHODS
This study was designed as a quasi-experimental, counterfactual study utilizing the interrupted time series analysis (ITSA), comparing the trend of hospitalization rate before and after the HTP implementation in 16 hospitals in the Lorestan province. Data was collected from March 2012 to February 2019.
RESULTS RESULTS
In the first month of the HTP implementation, an increase of 2.627 [95% CI: 1.62-3.63] was noted (P < 0.001). Hospitalization rate increased by 0.68 [95% CI: 0.32-0.85] after the HTP implementation compared to the first month after the launch of the HTP (P < 0.001). After the HTP implementation, monthly hospitalization rate per 1000 persons significantly increased by 0.049 [95% CI: 0.023-0.076] (P < 0.001).
CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS
The HTP implementation has resulted in an increased hospitalization rate. Health planners should continue to further improve this service. ITSA can play a role in evaluating the impact of a given health policy.

Identifiants

pubmed: 32306975
doi: 10.1186/s12913-020-05186-6
pii: 10.1186/s12913-020-05186-6
pmc: PMC7168862
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

327

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Auteurs

Siavash Beiranvand (S)

Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Lorestan University of Medical Sciences, Khorramabad, Iran.

Mandana Saki (M)

Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Lorestan University of Medical Sciences, Khorramabad, Iran.

Meysam Behzadifar (M)

Health Management and Economics Research Center, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

Ahad Bakhtiari (A)

Department of Health Management and Economics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Science, Tehran, Iran.

Masoud Behzadifar (M)

Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Lorestan University of Medical Sciences, Khorramabad, Iran. masoudbehzadifar@gmail.com.

Mohammad Keshvari (M)

Vice Chancellor Treatment, Lorestan University of Medical Sciences, Khorramabad, Iran.

Nicola Luigi Bragazzi (NL)

School of Public Health, Department of Health Sciences (DISSAL), University of Genoa, Genoa, Italy.
Laboratory for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (LIAM), Department of Mathematics and Statistics, York University, Toronto, Canada.

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