Egypt's Coastal Vulnerability to Sea-Level Rise and Storm Surge: Present and Future Conditions.
Climate change adaptation
Climate impacts
Coastal vulnerability index
Integrated coastal zone management
Sea-level rise and storm surge flooding
Journal
Integrated environmental assessment and management
ISSN: 1551-3793
Titre abrégé: Integr Environ Assess Manag
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 101234521
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
Sep 2020
Sep 2020
Historique:
received:
05
08
2019
revised:
07
10
2019
accepted:
13
04
2020
pubmed:
23
4
2020
medline:
26
1
2021
entrez:
23
4
2020
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
We assess the relative vulnerability of the Mediterranean shoreline of Egypt (about 1000 km in length) to climate change (i.e., sea-level rise [SLR], storm surge flooding, and coastal erosion) by using a Climate-improved Coastal Vulnerability Index (CCVI). We integrate information relative to a multidimensional set of physical, geological, and socioeconomic variables, and add to the mainstream literature the consideration of both a reference and a climate change scenario, assuming the representative concentration pathway 8.5 W/m
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
761-772Informations de copyright
© 2020 SETAC.
Références
Abdrabo M, Hassaan M. 2014. F2: Filling data gaps to address flooding in coastal cities. In: Proceedings of the Resilient Cities 2014 Congress Session, 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience; 2014 May 29-31; Bonn, Germany. Vol. 1, 22 p.
Appelquist LR. 2013. Generic framework for mesoscale assessment of climate change hazards in coastal environments. J Coast Conserv 17(1):59-74.
Aymen AS, Mamdouh MEH, Rifai IR, Waleed MTF. 2014. An integrated web mapping solution to assess the effect of SLR on the Northern Coast of Egypt-EGSLR. In: Bandrova T, Konecny M, Zlatanova S, editors. Thematic cartography for the society. Lecture notes in geoinformation and cartography. Cham (CH): Springer. p 23-31.
Batisha AF. 2012. Adaptation of sea level rise in Nile Delta due to climate change. J Earth Sci Clim Change 3:114.
Cavicchia L, Scoccimarro E, Gualdi S, Marson P, Ahrens B, Berthou S, Conte D, Dell'Aquila A, Drobinski P, Djurdjevic V et al. 2018. Mediterranean extreme precipitation: A multi-model assessment. Clim Dyn 51:901-913. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3245-x
Council of the European Union. 2009. Protocol on integrated coastal zone management in the Mediterranean. OJ L 34, 4.2.2009. p 19-28.
Dasgupta S, Laplante B, Murray S, Wheeler D. 2007. Sea-level rise and storm surges: A comparative analysis of impacts in developing countries. Washington (DC): World Bank Group. Policy Research Working Paper WPS4901. 43 p.
Dismukes DE, Narra S. 2016. Identifying the vulnerabilities of working coasts supporting critical energy infrastructure. Water 8(1). https://doi.org/10.3390/w8010008
El-Hattab MM. 2015. Improving coastal vulnerability index of the Nile Delta Coastal Zone, Egypt. J Earth Sci Clim Change 6(8):293.
Eldeberky Y. 2011. Coastal adaptation to sea level rise along the Nile delta, Egypt. WIT Trans Ecol Environ 149:41-52. https://doi.org/10.2495/CP110041
Elhag M, Psilovikos A, Sakellariou-Makrantonaki M. 2013. Land use changes and its impacts on water resources in Nile Delta region using remote sensing techniques. Environ Dev Sustain 15:1189-1204. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-013-9433-5
Elsharkawy H, Rashed H, Rached I. 2009. Climate change: The impacts of sea level rise on Egypt. In: 45th ISOCARP Congress Report; 2009 Oct 18-22; Porto, Portugal. 12 p.
[ETC/ACC] European Topic Centre on Air and Climate Change. 2010. European coastal climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation: A review of evidence. Copenhagen (DK). ETC/ACC Technical Paper 2010/7. 174 p. https://climate-adapt.eea.europa.eu/metadata/publications/european-coastal-climate-change-impacts-vulnerability-and-adaptation-a-review-of-evidence-etc-acc-technical-paper-2010-7
Frihy OE. 2003. The Nile Delta-Alexandria coast: Vulnerability to sea level rise, consequences and adaptation. Mitig Adapt Strat Gl 8:115-138.
Gallina V, Torresan S, Zabeo A, Rizzi J, Carniel S, Sclavo M, Pizzol L, Marcomini A, Critto A. 2019. Assessment of climate change impacts in the North Adriatic coastal area. Part II: Consequences for coastal erosion impacts at the regional scale. Water (Switzerland) 11:1-20. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11061300
Giorgi F. 2006. Climate change hot-spots. Geophys Res Lett 33(8):1-4. https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL025734
Gornitz V, White TW, Cushman RM. 1991. Vulnerability of the US to future sea-level rise. In: Coastal zone 91. Proceedings of the 7th Symposium on Coastal and Ocean Management; 1991 Jul 8-12; Long Beach, California. Washington (DC): USDOE. p 2354-2368.
Gornitz VM, Daniels RC, White TW, Birdwell KR. 1994. The development of coastal risk assessment database: Vulnerability to sea-level rise in the US southeast. J Coast Res 12:327-338.
Hagen SC, Passeri DL, Bilskie MV, DeLorme DE, Yoskowitz D. 2017. Systems approaches for coastal hazard assessment and resilience. In: Oxford research encyclopedia of natural hazard science. Oxford (UK): Oxford Univ. 25 p.
Haggag M, El-Shazly A, Rakh K. 2013. Impact of sea level rise on the Nile delta, Egypt. J Eng Appl Sci 60:211-230.
Hereher M. 2010. Vulnerability of the Nile Delta to sea level rise: An assessment using remote sensing. Geomat Nat Haz Risk 1(4):315-321. https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2010.516912
Hereher M. 2015. Coastal vulnerability assessment for Egypt's Mediterranean coast. Geomat Nat Haz Risk 6(4):342-355.
Hoque MAA, Ahmed N, Pradhan B, Roy S. 2019. Assessment of coastal vulnerability to multi-hazardous events using geospatial techniques along the eastern coast of Bangladesh. Ocean Coast Manage 181:104898. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.104898
[IPCC] International Panel on Climate Change. 2007. AR4 Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL, editors. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge (UK): Cambridge Univ. 996 p.
[IPCC] International Panel on Climate Change. 2013. Summary for policymakers. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, editors. Climate change 2013: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge (UK): Cambridge Univ. p 1-30. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107415324.Summary
[IPCC] International Panel on Climate Change. 2014. Climate change 2014: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Part A: Global and sectoral aspects. In: Field CB, Barros VR, Dokken DJ, editors. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge (UK): Cambridge Univ. 1150 p.
[IPCC] International Panel on Climate Change. 2019. Technical summary. In: Pörtner H-O, Roberts DC, Masson-Delmotte V, Zhai P, Poloczanska E, Mintenbeck K, Tignor M, Alegría A, Nicolai M, Okem A et al. editors. IPCC special report on the ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate. Cambridge (UK): Cambridge Univ. 34 p. https://www.ipcc.ch/srocc/
Kantamaneni K, Phillips M, Thomas T, Jenkins R. 2018. Assessing coastal vulnerability: Development of a combined physical and economic index. Ocean Coast Manage 158:164-175. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2018.03.039
King D, Macgregor C. 2000. Using social indicators to measure community vulnerability to natural hazards. Aust J Emerg Manage 15(3):52-57.
Koroglu A, Ranasinghe R, Jiménez JA, Dastgheib A. 2019. Comparison of coastal vulnerability index applications for Barcelona Province. Ocean Coast Manage 178:104799. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.05.001
Kulp SA, Strauss BH. 2019. Vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding. Nat Commun 10:4844. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-12808-z
Kumar T, Mahendra RS, Naak S, Radhakrishnan K, Sahul KC. 2010. Coastal vulnerability assessment for Orissa state, east coast of India. J Coast Res 26:523-534.
Kunte PD, Jauhari N, Mehrotra U, Kotha M, Hursthouse AS, Gagnon AS. 2014. Multi-hazards coastal vulnerability assessment of Goa, India, using geospatial techniques. Ocean Coast Manage 95:264-281.
Lelieveld J, Hadjinicolaou P, Kostopoulou E, Chenoweth J, Maayar MEl, Giannakopoulos C, Hannides C, Lange MA, Tanarhte M, Tyrlis E et al. 2012. Climate change and impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East. Climatic Change 114:667-687. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0418-4
Liberti L, Carillo A, Sannino G. 2013. Wave energy resource assessment in the Mediterranean, the Italian perspective. Renew Energy 50:938-949. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2012.08.023
Lionello P, Malanotte-Rizzoli P, Boscolo R, editors. 2006. Mediterranean climate variability. Amsterdam (NL): Elsevier. 438 p.
Liu H, Behr JG, Diaz R. 2015. Population vulnerability to storm surge flooding in coastal Virginia, USA. Integr Environ Assess Manag 12(3):500-509. https://doi.org/10.1002/ieam.1705
Marignani M, Bruschi D, Garcia DA, Frondoni R, Carli E, Pinna MS, Cumo F, Gugliermetti F, Saatkamp A, Doxa A. 2017. Identification and prioritization of areas with high environmental risk in Mediterranean coastal areas: A flexible approach. Sci Total Environ 590:566-578.
Mariner N, Flaux C, Morhange C, Kaniewski D. 2012. Nile Delta's sinking past: Quantitative links with holocene compaction and climate-driven changes in sediment supply. Geology 40:1083-1086.
McLaughlin S, Cooper JAG. 2010. A multi-scale coastal vulnerability index: A tool for coastal managers? Environ Hazards 9(3):233-248.
Murali RM, Ankita M, Amrita S, Vethamony P. 2013. Coastal vulnerability assessment of Puducherry coast, India, using the analytical hierarchical process. Nat Hazard Earth Syst 13:3291-3311.
Neumann B, Vafeidis AT, Zimmermann J, Nicholls RJ. 2015. Future coastal population growth and exposure to sea-level rise and coastal flooding-A global assessment. PLoS One 10(3):e0118571. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0118571
Nicholls RJ, Wong PP, Burkett V, Woodroffe CD. 2008. Climate change and coastal vulnerability assessment: Scenarios for integrated assessment. Sustain Sci 3:89-102.
Özyurt G, Ergin A. 2010. Improving coastal vulnerability assessments to sea-level rise: A new indicator-based methodology for decision makers. J Coast Res 26:265-273.
Özyurt G, Ergin A, Baykal C. 2010. Coastal vulnerability assessment to sea level rise integrated with analytical hierarchy process. Proc Coast Eng Conf 32. https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v32.management.6
Passeri DL, Hagen SC, Irish JL. 2014. Comparison of shoreline change rates along the South Atlantic Bight and northern Gulf of Mexico coasts for better evaluation of future shoreline positions under sea level rise. J Coast Res 68:20-26.
Passeri DL, Hagen SC, Medeiros SC, Bilskie MV, Alizad K, Wang D. 2015. The dynamic effects of sea level rise on low-gradient coastal landscapes: A review. Earth's Future 3(6):159-181.
Pendleton EA, Hammar-Klose ES, Thieler ER, Williams SJ. 2004. Coastal vulnerability assessment of Olympic National Park to sea-level rise. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 04-1021, Electronic Book. 22 p.
Pendleton EA, Thieler ER, Jeffress SW. 2005. Coastal vulnerability assessment of golden gate national recreation area to sea-level rise. Reston (VA): United States Geological Survey. Open-File Report 2005-1058. 27 p.
Preston BL, Smith TF, Brooke C, Gorddard R, Measham TG, Withycombe G, McInnes K, Abbs D, Beveridge B, Morrison C. 2008. Mapping climate change vulnerability in the Sydney Coastal Group. Prepared for the Sydney Coastal Councils Group by the CSIRO Climate Adaptation Flagship. 124 p.
Ramieri E, Hartley A, Barbanti A, Duarte Santos F, Gomes A, Hilden M, Laihonen P, Marinova N, Santini M. 2011. Methods for assessing coastal vulnerability to climate change. ETC CCA Technical Paper 1/2011. 93 p.
Reddy SMW, Guannel G, Griffin R, Faries J, Boucher T, Thompson M, Brenner J, Bernhardt J, Verutes G et al. 2015. Evaluating the role of coastal habitats and sea-level rise in hurricane risk mitigation: An ecological economic assessment method and application to a business decision. Integr Environ Assess Manag 12:328-344. https://doi.org/10.1002/ieam.1678
Reimann L, Vafeidis AT, Brown S, Hinkel J, Tol RSJ. 2018. Mediterranean UNESCO World Heritage at risk from coastal flooding and erosion due to sea-level rise. Nat Commun 9:1-11.
Riahi K, Rao S, Krey V, Cho C, Chirkov V, Fischer G. 2011. RCP 8.5-A scenario of comparatively high 95 greenhouse gas emissions. Clim Change 109:33-57. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0149-y
Ronco P, Gallina V, Torresan S, Zabeo A, Semenzin E, Critto A, Marcomini A. 2014. The KULTURisk Regional Risk Assessment methodology for water-related natural hazards-Part 1: Physical-environmental assessment. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 18:5399-5414. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-5399-2014
Satta A, Puddu M, Venturini S, Giupponi C. 2017. Assessment of coastal risks to climate change related impacts at the regional scale: The case of the Mediterranean region. Int J Disast Risk Reduct 24:284-296.
Satta A, Snoussi M, Puddu M, Flayou L, Hout R. 2016. An index-based method to assess risks of climate-related hazards in coastal zones: The case of Tetouan. Estuarine Coastal Shelf Sci. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2016.03.021
Schleupner C. 2005. Spatial analysis as tool for sensitivity assessment of sea level rise impacts on Martinique. Research Unit Sustainability and Global Change Working paper. Hamburg (DE): Hamburg Univ. 71 p.
Serafim MB, Siegle E, Corsi AC, Bonetti J. 2019. Coastal vulnerability to wave impacts using a multi-criteria index: Santa Catarina (Brazil). J Environ Manage 230:21-32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.09.052
Taramelli A, Valentini E, Sterlacchini S. 2015. A GIS-based approach for hurricane hazard and vulnerability assessment in the Cayman Islands. Ocean Coast Manage 108:116-130.
Thieler ER, Hammar-Klose ES. 1999. National assessment of coastal vulnerability to future sea level rise: Preliminary results for the U.S. Atlantic coasts. Woods Hole (MA): US Geological Survey. Open-File Report 99-593. [accessed 2020 May 22]. http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/1999/of99-593/
Torresan S, Critto A, Rizzi J, Zabeo A, Furlan E, Marcomini A. 2016. DESYCO: A decision support system for the regional risk assessment of climate change impacts in coastal zones. Ocean Coast Manag 120:49-63.
Tragaki A, Gallousi C, Karymbalis E. 2018. Coastal hazard vulnerability assessment based on geomorphic, oceanographic and demographic parameters: The case of the Peloponnese (Southern Greece). Land 7:56.
[UNDP] United Nations Development Programme. 2011. Egypt's national strategy for adaptation to climate change and disaster risk reduction. Egypt Government. 167 p. [accessed 2020 May 22]. https://www.preventionweb.net/english/professional/policies/v.php?id=60016
van Vuuren DP, Edmonds J, Kainuma M, Riahi K, Thomson A, Hibbard K, Hurtt GC, Kram T, Krey V, Lamarque JF, Masui T. 2011. The representative concentration pathways: An overview. Climatic Change 109:5-31.
Vousdoukas M, Voukouvalas E, Annunziato A, Giardino A, Feyen L. 2016. Projections of extreme storm surge levels along Europe. Clim Dynam 47:3171-3190.
Wade T, Sommer S. 2006. A to Z GIS: An illustrated dictionary of Geographic Information Systems. Redlands (CA): ESRI Press. 268 p.