Daily almond consumption in cardiovascular disease prevention via LDL-C change in the U.S. population: a cost-effectiveness analysis.


Journal

BMC public health
ISSN: 1471-2458
Titre abrégé: BMC Public Health
Pays: England
ID NLM: 100968562

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
25 Apr 2020
Historique:
received: 25 06 2019
accepted: 02 04 2020
entrez: 27 4 2020
pubmed: 27 4 2020
medline: 3 10 2020
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Heart disease is the leading cause of death in the United States. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved the health claim that 1.5 oz (42.5 g) of nut intake may reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease. Previous studies have focused on the cost-effectiveness of other foods or dietary factors on primary cardiovascular disease prevention, yet not in almond consumption. This study aimed to examine the cost-effectiveness of almond consumption in cardiovascular disease primary prevention. This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of consuming 42.5 g of almond from the U.S. healthcare sector perspective. A decision model was developed for 42.5 g of almond per day versus no almond consumption and cardiovascular disease in the U.S. Parameters in the model were derived from the literature, which included the probabilities of increasing low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, developing acute myocardial infarction and stroke, treating acute myocardial infarction, dying from the disease and surgery, as well as the costs of the disease and procedures in the U.S. population, and the quality-adjusted life years. The cost of almonds was based on the current price in the U.S. market. Sensitivity analyses were conducted for different levels of willingness-to-pay, the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, ten-year risk prevention, different costs of procedures and almond prices, and patients with or without cardiovascular disease. The almond strategy had $363 lower cost and 0.02 higher quality-adjusted life years gain compared to the non-almond strategy in the base-case model. The annual net monetary benefit of almond consumption was $1421 higher per person than no almond consumption, when the willingness to pay threshold was set at $50,000 for annual health care expenditure. Almond was more cost-effective than non-almond in cardiovascular disease prevention in all the sensitivity analyses. Consuming 42.5 g of almonds per day is a cost-effective approach to prevent cardiovascular disease in the short term and potentially in the long term.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
Heart disease is the leading cause of death in the United States. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved the health claim that 1.5 oz (42.5 g) of nut intake may reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease. Previous studies have focused on the cost-effectiveness of other foods or dietary factors on primary cardiovascular disease prevention, yet not in almond consumption. This study aimed to examine the cost-effectiveness of almond consumption in cardiovascular disease primary prevention.
PERSPECTIVE & SETTING UNASSIGNED
This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of consuming 42.5 g of almond from the U.S. healthcare sector perspective.
METHODS METHODS
A decision model was developed for 42.5 g of almond per day versus no almond consumption and cardiovascular disease in the U.S.
POPULATION METHODS
Parameters in the model were derived from the literature, which included the probabilities of increasing low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, developing acute myocardial infarction and stroke, treating acute myocardial infarction, dying from the disease and surgery, as well as the costs of the disease and procedures in the U.S. population, and the quality-adjusted life years. The cost of almonds was based on the current price in the U.S. market. Sensitivity analyses were conducted for different levels of willingness-to-pay, the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, ten-year risk prevention, different costs of procedures and almond prices, and patients with or without cardiovascular disease.
RESULTS RESULTS
The almond strategy had $363 lower cost and 0.02 higher quality-adjusted life years gain compared to the non-almond strategy in the base-case model. The annual net monetary benefit of almond consumption was $1421 higher per person than no almond consumption, when the willingness to pay threshold was set at $50,000 for annual health care expenditure. Almond was more cost-effective than non-almond in cardiovascular disease prevention in all the sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION CONCLUSIONS
Consuming 42.5 g of almonds per day is a cost-effective approach to prevent cardiovascular disease in the short term and potentially in the long term.

Identifiants

pubmed: 32334551
doi: 10.1186/s12889-020-08642-4
pii: 10.1186/s12889-020-08642-4
pmc: PMC7183588
doi:

Substances chimiques

Cholesterol, LDL 0

Types de publication

Journal Article Randomized Controlled Trial

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

558

Subventions

Organisme : U.S. Department of Agriculture
ID : 58-1950-4-003
Organisme : Almond Board of California
ID : NA

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Auteurs

Jifan Wang (J)

Tufts University Friedman School of Nutrition and Policy, 150 Harrison Ave, Boston, MA, 02111, USA. Jifan.wang@tufts.edu.

Michelle A Lee Bravatti (MA)

Tufts University Friedman School of Nutrition and Policy, 150 Harrison Ave, Boston, MA, 02111, USA.

Elizabeth J Johnson (EJ)

Tufts University Friedman School of Nutrition and Policy, 150 Harrison Ave, Boston, MA, 02111, USA.

Gowri Raman (G)

Tufts Clinical Evidence Synthesis Center, Tufts Medical Center, 800 Washington Street, box 63, Boston, MA, 02111, USA.

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Classifications MeSH