Covid-19 Outbreak Progression in Italian Regions: Approaching the Peak by the End of March in Northern Italy and First Week of April in Southern Italy.
COVID-19
Italian Regions
Model
Outbreak Progression
Peak
Journal
International journal of environmental research and public health
ISSN: 1660-4601
Titre abrégé: Int J Environ Res Public Health
Pays: Switzerland
ID NLM: 101238455
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
27 04 2020
27 04 2020
Historique:
received:
31
03
2020
revised:
19
04
2020
accepted:
21
04
2020
entrez:
1
5
2020
pubmed:
1
5
2020
medline:
7
5
2020
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Epidemiological figures of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Italy are higher than those observed in China. Our objective was to model the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak progression in Italian regions vs. Lombardy to assess the epidemic's progression. Our setting was Italy, and especially Lombardy, which is experiencing a heavy burden of SARS-CoV-2 infections. The peak of new daily cases of the epidemic has been reached on the 29th, while was delayed in Central and Southern Italian regions compared to Northern ones. In our models, we estimated the basic reproduction number (R
Identifiants
pubmed: 32349259
pii: ijerph17093025
doi: 10.3390/ijerph17093025
pmc: PMC7246918
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
Authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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