Survival varies seasonally in a migratory bird: Linkages between breeding and non-breeding periods.
carry-over effects
full annual cycle
mark-recapture
migration
seasonal survival
Journal
The Journal of animal ecology
ISSN: 1365-2656
Titre abrégé: J Anim Ecol
Pays: England
ID NLM: 0376574
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
09 2020
09 2020
Historique:
received:
05
11
2019
accepted:
27
04
2020
pubmed:
10
5
2020
medline:
10
4
2021
entrez:
9
5
2020
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Migratory species form an important component of biodiversity; they link ecosystems across the globe, but are increasingly threatened by global environmental change. Understanding and mitigating threats requires knowledge of how demographic processes operate throughout the annual cycle, but this can be difficult to achieve when breeding and non-breeding grounds are widely separated. Our goal is to quantify the importance of variability in survival during the breeding and non-breeding seasons in determining variation in annual survival using a single population and, more broadly, the extent to which annual survival across species reflects variation in probability of surviving the migratory period. We use a 25-year dataset in which individuals of a long-distance migratory bird, the alpine swift Tachymarptis melba, were captured towards the beginning and end of each breeding season to estimate age- and season-specific survival probabilities and incorporate explicit estimation of the correlations in survival between age-classes and seasons. Monthly survival was higher during the breeding period than during the rest of the year and strongly affected by conditions in the breeding season; effects that remained apparent in the following non-breeding season, but not subsequently. Recruitment of juveniles was dependent on the timing of breeding, being higher if egg-laying commenced before the median date, and substantially lower if not. Across migratory bird species, variation in annual survival largely reflects variation in the probability of surviving the migratory period. Using a double-capture approach, even within a single season, provides valuable insights into the demography of migratory species, which will help understand the extent and impacts of the threats they face in a changing world.
Identifiants
pubmed: 32383289
doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.13250
doi:
Banques de données
Dryad
['10.5061/dryad.3r2280gd1']
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
2111-2121Informations de copyright
© 2020 British Ecological Society.
Références
Allen, A. M., Ens, B. J., Van de Pol, M., Van der Jeugd, H., Frauendorf, M., Oosterbeek, K., & Jongejans, E. (2019). Seasonal survival and migratory connectivity of the Eurasian oystercatcher revealed by citizen science. The Auk: Ornithological Advances, 136, uky001. https://doi.org/10.1093/auk/uky001
Arnold, T. W., Afton, A. D., Anteau, M. J., Koons, D. N., & Nicolai, C. A. (2016). Temporal variation in survival and recovery rates of lesser scaup. The Journal of Wildlife Management, 80, 850-861. https://doi.org/10.1002/jwmg.21074
Arn-Willi, H. (1960). Biologische studien am Alpensegler. Solothurn, Switzerland: Vogt-Schild.
Bauer, S., & Hoye, B. J. (2014). Migratory animals couple biodiversity and ecosystem functioning worldwide. Science, 344, 1242552. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1242552
Bize, P., Devevey, G., Monaghan, P., Doligez, B., & Christe, P. (2008). Fecundity and survival in relation to resistance to oxidative stress in a free-living bird. Ecology, 89, 2584-2593. https://doi.org/10.1890/07-1135.1
Bize, P., Metcalfe, N. B., & Roulin, A. (2006). Catch-up growth strategies differ between body structures: Interactions between age and structure-specific growth in wild nestling alpine swifts. Functional Ecology, 20, 857-864. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2435.2006.01157.x
Bize, P., Roulin, A., Bersier, L.-F., Pfluger, D., & Richner, H. (2003). Parasitism and developmental plasticity in alpine swift nestlings. Journal of Animal Ecology, 72, 633-639. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2656.2003.00734.x
Bize, P., Stocker, A., Jenni-Eiermann, S., Gasparini, J., & Roulin, A. (2010). Sudden weather deterioration but not brood size affects baseline corticosterone levels in nestling alpine swifts. Hormones and Behavior, 58, 591-598. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.yhbeh.2010.06.020
Briedis, M., Hahn, S., & Adamík, P. (2017). Cold spell en route delays spring arrival and decreases apparent survival in a long-distance migratory songbird. BMC Ecology, 17, 11. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12898-017-0121-4
Briedis, M., Krist, M., Král, M., Voigt, C. C., & Adamík, P. (2018). Linking events throughout the annual cycle in a migratory bird - Non-breeding period buffers accumulation of carry-over effects. Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology, 72, 93. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00265-018-2509-3
Calvert, A. M., Walde, S. J., & Taylor, P. D. (2009). Nonbreeding-season drivers of population dynamics in seasonal migrants: Conservation parallels across taxa. Avian Conservation and Ecology, 4, 5. https://doi.org/10.5751/ACE-00335-040205
Clutton-Brock, T., & Sheldon, B. C. (2010). Individuals and populations: The role of long-term, individual-based studies of animals in ecology and evolutionary biology. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 25, 562-573. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2010.08.002
Dokter, A. M., Farnsworth, A., Fink, D., Ruiz-Gutierrez, V., Hochachka, W. M., La Sorte, F. A., … Kelling, S. (2018). Seasonal abundance and survival of North America's migratory avifauna determined by weather radar. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 2, 1603. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-018-0666-4
Fouchet, D., Santin-Janin, H., Sauvage, F., Yoccoz, N. G., & Pontier, D. (2016). An R package for analysing survival using continuous-time open capture-recapture models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 7, 518-528.
Fransson, T., Jansson, L., Kolehmainen, T., Kroon, C., & Wenninger, T. (2017). EURING list of longevity records for European birds. Retrieved from https://euring.org/data-and-codes/longevity-list
Giavi, S., Moretti, M., Bontadina, F., Zambelli, N., & Schaub, M. (2014). Seasonal survival probabilities suggest low migration mortality in migrating bats. PLoS ONE, 9, e85628. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0085628
Gow, E. A., Burke, L., Winkler, D. W., Knight, S. M., Bradley, D. W., Clark, R. G., … Norris, D. R. (2019). A range-wide domino effect and resetting of the annual cycle in a migratory songbird. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 286, 20181916. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2018.1916
Grüebler, M. U., Korner-Nievergelt, F., & Naef-Daenzer, B. (2014). Equal nonbreeding period survival in adults and juveniles of a long-distant migrant bird. Ecology and Evolution, 4, 756-765. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.984
Haest, B., Hüppop, O., van de Pol, M., & Bairlein, F. (2019). Autumn bird migration phenology: A potpourri of wind, precipitation and temperature effects. Global Change Biology, 25, 4064-4080. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14746
Harrison, X. A., Blount, J. D., Inger, R., Norris, D. R., & Bearhop, S. (2011). Carry-over effects as drivers of fitness differences in animals. Journal of Animal Ecology, 80, 4-18. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2656.2010.01740.x
Hebblewhite, M., & Merrill, E. H. (2007). Multiscale wolf predation risk for elk: Does migration reduce risk? Oecologia, 152, 377-387. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-007-0661-y
Hobson, K. A. (2005). Stable isotopes and the determination of avian migratory connectivity and seasonal interactions. The Auk, 122, 1037-1048. https://doi.org/10.1093/auk/122.4.1037
Johnson, D. S., & Hoeting, J. A. (2003). Autoregressive models for capture-recapture data: A Bayesian approach. Biometrics, 59, 341-350. https://doi.org/10.1111/1541-0420.00041
Kellner, K. (2017). jagsUI: A wrapper around ‘rjags’ to streamline ‘JAGS’ analyses. R package version 1.4.9. Retrieved from https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=jagsUI
Kéry, M., & Schaub, M. (2012). Bayesian population analysis using WinBUGS: A hierarchical perspective. London, UK: Academic Press.
Klaassen, R. H. G., Hake, M., Strandberg, R., Koks, B., Trierweiler, C., Exo, K. M., … Alerstam, T. (2014). When and where does mortality occur in migratory birds? Direct evidence from long-term satellite tracking of raptors. Journal of Animal Ecology, 83, 176-184. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12135
La Sorte, F. A., Hochachka, W. M., Farnsworth, A., Dhondt, A. A., & Sheldon, D. (2016). The implications of mid-latitude climate extremes for North American migratory bird populations. Ecosphere, 7, e01261. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.1261
Lerche-Jørgensen, M., Korner-Nievergelt, F., Tøttrup, A. P., Willemoes, M., & Thorup, K. (2018). Early returning long-distance migrant males do pay a survival cost. Ecology and Evolution, 8, 11434-11449. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.4569
Liechti, F., Witvliet, W., Weber, R., & Bächler, E. (2013). First evidence of a 200-day non-stop flight in a bird. Nature Communications, 4, 2554. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms3554
Lindström, J. (1999). Early development and fitness in birds and mammals. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 14, 343-348. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-5347(99)01639-0
Link, W. A., & Barker, R. J. (2005). Modeling association among demographic parameters in analysis of open population capture-recapture data. Biometrics, 61, 46-54. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0006-341X.2005.030906.x
Lok, T., Overdijk, O., & Piersma, T. (2015). The cost of migration: Spoonbills suffer higher mortality during trans-Saharan spring migrations only. Biology Letters, 11, 20140944. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2014.0944
Loonstra, A. H. J., Verhoeven, M. A., Senner, N. R., Both, C., & Piersma, T. (2019). Adverse wind conditions during northward Sahara crossings increase the in-flight mortality of Black-tailed Godwits. Ecology Letters, 22, 2060-2066.
Marra, P. P., Cohen, E. B., Loss, S. R., Rutter, J. E., & Tonra, C. M. (2015). A call for full annual cycle research in animal ecology. Biology Letters, 11, 20150552. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2015.0552
Marra, P. P., Norris, D. R., Haig, S. M., Webster, M., & Royle, J. A. (2018). Migratory connectivity. In K. Crooks & S. Muttulingam (Eds.), Maintaining connections for nature (pp. 643-654). New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.
Marx, M., Korner-Nievergelt, F., & Quillfeldt, P. (2016). Analysis of ring recoveries of European turtle doves Streptopelia turtur - Flyways, migration timing and origin areas of hunted birds. Acta Ornithologica, 51, 55-71.
McClintock, B. T., & White, G. C. (2009). A less field-intensive robust design for estimating demographic parameters with mark-resight data. Ecology, 90, 313-320. https://doi.org/10.1890/08-0973.1
McKinnon, E. A., & Love, O. P. (2018). Ten years tracking the migrations of small landbirds: Lessons learned in the golden age of bio-logging. The Auk: Ornithological Advances, 135, 834-856. https://doi.org/10.1642/AUK-17-202.1
Meier, C. M., Karaardıç, H., Aymí, R., Peev, S. G., Bächler, E., Weber, R., … Liechti, F. (2018). What makes alpine swift ascend at twilight? Novel geolocators reveal year-round flight behaviour. Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology, 72, 45. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00265-017-2438-6
Meller, K., Vähätalo, A. V., Hokkanen, T., Rintala, J., Piha, M., & Lehikoinen, A. (2016). Interannual variation and long-term trends in proportions of resident individuals in partially migratory birds. Journal of Animal Ecology, 85, 570-580. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12486
Mynott, J. (2018). Birds in the ancient world. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.
Nilsson, C., Klaassen, R. H., & Alerstam, T. (2013). Differences in speed and duration of bird migration between spring and autumn. The American Naturalist, 181, 837-845. https://doi.org/10.1086/670335
Norris, D. R., Marra, P. P., Kyser, T. K., Sherry, T. W., & Ratcliffe, L. M. (2004). Tropical winter habitat limits reproductive success on the temperate breeding grounds in a migratory bird. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences, 271, 59-64. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2003.2569
Paradis, E., & Schliep, K. (2018). ape 5.0: An environment for modern phylogenetics and evolutionary analyses in R. Bioinformatics, 35, 526-528. https://doi.org/10.1093/bioinformatics/bty633
Péron, G (2013). Compensation and additivity of anthropogenic mortality: Life-history effects and review of methods. Journal of Animal Ecology, 82(2), 408-417. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12014
Piersma, T., Lok, T., Chen, Y., Hassell, C. J., Yang, H. Y., Boyle, A., … Ma, Z. (2016). Simultaneous declines in summer survival of three shorebird species signals a flyway at risk. Journal of Applied Ecology, 53, 479-490. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12582
Plummer, K. E., Siriwardena, G. M., Conway, G. J., Risely, K., & Toms, M. P. (2015). Is supplementary feeding in gardens a driver of evolutionary change in a migratory bird species? Global Change Biology, 21, 4353-4363. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13070
Plummer, M. (2003). JAGS: A program for analysis of Bayesian graphical models using Gibbs sampling. Proceedings of the 3rd International Workshop on Distributed Statistical Computing (DSC 2003), March 20-22, Vienna, Austria.
R Core Development Team. (2018). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. Vienna, Austria. Retrieved from https://www.R-project.org/
Raja-Aho, S., Eeva, T., Suorsa, P., Valkama, J., & Lehikoinen, E. (2017). Juvenile Barn Swallows Hirundo rustica L. from late broods start autumn migration younger, fuel less effectively and show lower return rates than juveniles from early broods. Ibis, 159, 892-901.
Riecke, T. V., Sedinger, B. S., Williams, P. J., Leach, A. G., & Sedinger, J. S. (2019). Estimating correlations among demographic parameters in population models. Ecology & Evolution, 9, 13521-13531. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.5809
Robinson, R. A., Crick, H., Learmonth, J. A., Maclean, I., Thomas, C. D., Bairlein, F., … Visser, M. E. (2009). Travelling through a warming world - Climate change and migratory species. Endangered Species Research, 7, 87-99. https://doi.org/10.3354/esr00095
Robinson, R., Meier, C., Witvliet, W., Kéry, M., & Schaub, M. (2020). Data from: Survival varies seasonally in a migratory bird: Linkages between breeding and non-breeding periods. Dryad Digital Repository, https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.3r2280gd1
Rodríguez, S., Van Noordwijk, A. J., Álvarez, E., & Barba, E. (2016). A recipe for postfledging survival in great tits Parus major: Be large and be early (but not too much). Ecology and Evolution, 6, 4458-4467.
Rotics, S., Kaatz, M., Turjeman, S., Zurell, D., Wikelski, M., Sapir, N., … Nathan, R. (2018). Early arrival at breeding grounds: Causes, costs and a trade-off with overwintering latitude. Journal of Animal Ecology, 87, 1627-1638. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12898
Rushing, C. S., Hostetler, J. A., Sillett, T. S., Marra, P. P., Rotenberg, J. A., & Ryder, T. B. (2017). Spatial and temporal drivers of avian population dynamics across the annual cycle. Ecology, 98, 2837-2850. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.1967
Schroeder, J., Cleasby, I. R., Nakagawa, S., Ockendon, N., & Burke, T. (2011). No evidence for adverse effects on fitness of fitting passive integrated transponders (PITs) in wild house sparrows Passer domesticus. Journal of Avian Biology, 42, 271-275. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-048X.2010.05271.x
Senner, N. R., Hochachka, W. M., Fox, J. W., & Afanasyev, V. (2014). An exception to the rule: Carry-over effects do not accumulate in a long-distance migratory bird. PLoS ONE, 9, e0086588. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0086588
Sergio, F., Tavecchia, G., Tanferna, A., Blas, J., Blanco, G., & Hiraldo, F. (2019). When and where mortality occurs throughout the annual cycle changes with age in a migratory bird: Individual vs. population implications. Scientific Reports, 9, 17352. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-54026-z
Sillett, T. S., & Holmes, R. T. (2002). Variation in survivorship of a migratory songbird throughout its annual cycle. Journal of Animal Ecology, 71, 296-308. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2656.2002.00599.x
Smith, R. J., & Moore, F. R. (2005). Arrival timing and seasonal reproductive performance in a long-distance migratory landbird. Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology, 57, 231-239. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00265-004-0855-9
Somveille, M., Rodrigues, A. S., & Manica, A. (2015). Why do birds migrate? A macroecological perspective. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24, 664-674. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12298
Souchay, G., van Wijk, R. E., Schaub, M., & Bauer, S. (2018). Identifying drivers of breeding success in a long-distance migrant using structural equation modelling. Oikos, 127, 125-133. https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.04247
Tettamanti, F., Witvliet, W., & Bize, P. (2012). Selection on age at first and at last reproduction in the long-lived Alpine Swift Apus melba. Ibis, 154, 338-344. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1474-919X.2012.01215.x
Tøttrup, A. P., Klaassen, R. H. G., Kristensen, M. W., Strandberg, R., Vardanis, Y., Lindström, Å., … Thorup, K. (2012). Drought in Africa caused delayed arrival of European songbirds. Science, 338, 1307. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1227548
van Wijk, R. E., Schaub, M., & Bauer, S. (2017). Dependencies in the timing of activities weaken over the annual cycle in a long-distance migratory bird. Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology, 71, 73. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00265-017-2305-5
Vickery, J. A., Ewing, S. R., Smith, K. W., Pain, D. J., Bairlein, F., Škorpilová, J., & Gregory, R. D. (2014). The decline of Afro-Palaearctic migrants and an assessment of potential causes. Ibis, 156, 1-22. https://doi.org/10.1111/ibi.12118
Zúñiga, D., Gager, Y., Kokko, H., Fudickar, A. M., Schmidt, A., Naef-Daenzer, B., … Partecke, J. (2017). Migration confers winter survival benefits in a partially migratory songbird. eLife, 6, e28123. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.28123