Post-treatment FDG PET/CT predicts progression-free survival in young patients with small round blue cell tumors: Ewing sarcoma and PNET.

To determine if post-treatment F-18 FDG PET/CT results (overall positive findings, specific localizations) are independent predictors of disease progression in young patients with Ewing sarcoma and Primitive neuroectodermal tumor. A consecutive sample of 48 patients (age 14 ± 5 years, 32 male) was referred to F-18 FDG PET/CT for the suspected progression of Ewing sarcoma (39 patients) and Primitive neuroectodermal tumor (PNET) (9 patients) and followed-up clinically for 4.3 ± 2.3 years after F-18 FDG PET/CT (range 1-8 years). The diagnostic value of F-18 FDG PET/CT was determined in comparison to the biopsy. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare progression-free survival between the groups with positive and negative F-18 FDG PET/CT findings. Variables included in the Cox regression for predicting the progression-free survival were sex, age, F-18 FDG PET/CT findings, MDCT findings, and MR ratio. F-18 FDG PET/CT findings were positive in 32 (67 %) patients (sensitivity 93.7 %, specificity 87.5 %, accuracy 91.7 %) with an average SUVmax of 5.8 ± 3.2 (95 % CI 4.8-7.1). The progression-free survival was significantly lower (p = 0.001) in patients with positive F-18 FDG PET/CT findings (median 28 months) and when recurrence was located in bones, soft tissues, and muscles (p = 0.02, median 21 months). The significant predictors of the disease progression were the overall positive F-18 FDG PET/CT findings (HR 8.36, p = 0.004) and, specifically, the local recurrence in the bone with infiltration of soft tissue/muscles (HR 4.08, p = 0.003). Post-treatment F-18 FDG PET/CT findings are useful for predicting the progression of Ewing sarcoma and PNET and should be included in the clinical monitoring of these patients.

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