The time scale of asymptomatic transmission affects estimates of epidemic potential in the COVID-19 outbreak.


Journal

Epidemics
ISSN: 1878-0067
Titre abrégé: Epidemics
Pays: Netherlands
ID NLM: 101484711

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
06 2020
Historique:
received: 23 03 2020
revised: 06 04 2020
accepted: 06 04 2020
pubmed: 24 5 2020
medline: 9 6 2020
entrez: 24 5 2020
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

The role of asymptomatic carriers in transmission poses challenges for control of the COVID-19 pandemic. Study of asymptomatic transmission and implications for surveillance and disease burden are ongoing, but there has been little study of the implications of asymptomatic transmission on dynamics of disease. We use a mathematical framework to evaluate expected effects of asymptomatic transmission on the basic reproduction number R

Identifiants

pubmed: 32446187
pii: S1755-4365(20)30019-0
doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2020.100392
pmc: PMC7212980
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

100392

Subventions

Organisme : NIAID NIH HHS
ID : R01 AI146592
Pays : United States

Commentaires et corrections

Type : UpdateOf

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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Auteurs

Sang Woo Park (SW)

Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.

Daniel M Cornforth (DM)

School of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.

Jonathan Dushoff (J)

Department of Biology, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; M. G. DeGroote Institute for Infectious Disease Research, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada. Electronic address: dushoff@mcmaster.ca.

Joshua S Weitz (JS)

School of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA; School of Physics, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA. Electronic address: jsweitz@gatech.edu.

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Classifications MeSH