Prognostic gene expression signature for high-grade serous ovarian cancer.

BACKGROUND

Median overall survival (OS) for women with high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) is ∼4 years, yet survival varies widely between patients. There are no well-established, gene expression signatures associated with prognosis. The aim of this study was to develop a robust prognostic signature for OS in patients with HGSOC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Expression of 513 genes, selected from a meta-analysis of 1455 tumours and other candidates, was measured using NanoString technology from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumour tissue collected from 3769 women with HGSOC from multiple studies. Elastic net regularization for survival analysis was applied to develop a prognostic model for 5-year OS, trained on 2702 tumours from 15 studies and evaluated on an independent set of 1067 tumours from six studies.

RESULTS

Expression levels of 276 genes were associated with OS (false discovery rate < 0.05) in covariate-adjusted single-gene analyses. The top five genes were TAP1, ZFHX4, CXCL9, FBN1 and PTGER3 (P < 0.001). The best performing prognostic signature included 101 genes enriched in pathways with treatment implications. Each gain of one standard deviation in the gene expression score conferred a greater than twofold increase in risk of death [hazard ratio (HR) 2.35, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.02-2.71; P < 0.001]. Median survival [HR (95% CI)] by gene expression score quintile was 9.5 (8.3 to -), 5.4 (4.6-7.0), 3.8 (3.3-4.6), 3.2 (2.9-3.7) and 2.3 (2.1-2.6) years.

CONCLUSION

The OTTA-SPOT (Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis consortium - Stratified Prognosis of Ovarian Tumours) gene expression signature may improve risk stratification in clinical trials by identifying patients who are least likely to achieve 5-year survival. The identified novel genes associated with the outcome may also yield opportunities for the development of targeted therapeutic approaches.

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Disclosure BYK served on Invitae Corporation's Advisory Board from 2017 to 2018. IAM has acted on the Advisory Boards for AstraZeneca, Clovis Oncology, Tesaro, Carrick Therapeutics and Takeda. His institution receives funding from AstraZeneca. RG is on the Advisory Boards for AstraZeneca, Tesaro, Clovis and Immunogen and does consultancy work for SOTIO. She has received support to attend conferences from AstraZeneca, Roche and Tesaro. Her institution has received research funding from Boehringer Ingelheim and Lilly/Ignyta and she is the national co-ordinating investigator for the UK for trials sponsored by AstraZeneca and Tesaro and site principal investigator for trials sponsored by AstraZeneca, Tesaro, Immunogen, Pfizer, Lilly and Clovis. PAF has received grants from Novartis, BioNtech and Cepheid as well as personal fees from Novartis, Roche, Pfizer, Celgene, Daiichi-Sankyo, TEVA, Astra Zeneca, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Myelo Therapeutics, MacroGenics, Eisai and Puma during the conduct of the study. JDB has acted on Advisory Boards for AstraZeneca and has received support from GSK to attend conferences. His institution receives funding from AstraZeneca and Aprea. UM has shares in Abcodia Ltd. Sandra Orsulic and Beth Y. Karlan have patents on predictive gene signatures in ovarian cancer (US010253368 and EU2908913). All remaining authors have declared no conflicts of interest.