Foot-and-Mouth Disease Space-Time Clusters and Risk Factors in Cattle and Buffalo in Bangladesh.
FMD
cluster analysis
risk mapping
risk-based surveillance
Journal
Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland)
ISSN: 2076-0817
Titre abrégé: Pathogens
Pays: Switzerland
ID NLM: 101596317
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
29 May 2020
29 May 2020
Historique:
received:
26
04
2020
revised:
13
05
2020
accepted:
14
05
2020
entrez:
4
6
2020
pubmed:
4
6
2020
medline:
4
6
2020
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is highly endemic in Bangladesh. Using passive surveillance data (case records from all 64 districts of Bangladesh, 2014-2017) and district domestic ruminant population estimates, we calculated FMD cumulative incidence per 10,000 animals at risk per district, conducted cluster (Moran's spatial autocorrelation and scan statistics) and hotspot analysis (local indicator of spatial association statistic), created predictive maps and identified risk factors using a geographically weighted regression model. A total of 548,817 FMD cases in cattle and buffalo were reported during the four-year study period. The highest proportion (31.5%) of cases were reported during the post-monsoon season, and from Chattogram (29.2%) division. Five space-time clusters, 9 local clusters, and 14 hotspots were identified. Overall, higher cumulative incidences of FMD were consistently predicted in eastern parts of Bangladesh. The precipitation in the pre-monsoon season (
Identifiants
pubmed: 32485792
pii: pathogens9060423
doi: 10.3390/pathogens9060423
pmc: PMC7350371
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
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