Using predicted imports of 2019-nCoV cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases.

coronavirus outbreak pneumonia travel

Journal

medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Titre abrégé: medRxiv
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 101767986

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
11 Feb 2020
Historique:
entrez: 9 6 2020
pubmed: 9 6 2020
medline: 9 6 2020
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Cases from the ongoing outbreak of atypical pneumonia caused by the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) exported from mainland China can lead to self-sustained outbreaks in other populations. Internationally imported cases are currently being reported in several different locations. Early detection of imported cases is critical for containment of the virus. Based on air travel volume estimates from Wuhan to international destinations and using a generalized linear regression model we identify locations which may potentially have undetected internationally imported cases.

Identifiants

pubmed: 32511458
doi: 10.1101/2020.02.04.20020495
pmc: PMC7239086
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Preprint

Langues

eng

Subventions

Organisme : NIGMS NIH HHS
ID : R35 GM124715
Pays : United States
Organisme : NIGMS NIH HHS
ID : U54 GM088558
Pays : United States

Commentaires et corrections

Type : UpdateIn

Références

Lancet. 2020 Feb 29;395(10225):689-697
pubmed: 32014114

Auteurs

P M De Salazar (PM)

Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.

R Niehus (R)

Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.

A Taylor (A)

Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.

C Buckee (C)

Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.

M Lipsitch (M)

Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.

Classifications MeSH