Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths.
Journal
medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Titre abrégé: medRxiv
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 101767986
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
13 Mar 2020
13 Mar 2020
Historique:
pubmed:
9
6
2020
medline:
9
6
2020
entrez:
9
6
2020
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
We estimate the number of COVID-19 cases from newly reported deaths in a population without previous reports. Our results suggest that by the time a single death occurs, hundreds to thousands of cases are likely to be present in that population. This suggests containment via contact tracing will be challenging at this point, and other response strategies should be considered. Our approach is implemented in a publicly available, user-friendly, online tool.
Identifiants
pubmed: 32511459
doi: 10.1101/2020.03.10.20033761
pmc: PMC7239087
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Preprint
Langues
eng
Commentaires et corrections
Type : UpdateIn
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