Progression of myopic maculopathy in a Caucasian cohort of highly myopic patients with long follow-up: a multistate analysis.


Journal

Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie
ISSN: 1435-702X
Titre abrégé: Graefes Arch Clin Exp Ophthalmol
Pays: Germany
ID NLM: 8205248

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
Jan 2021
Historique:
received: 08 04 2020
accepted: 06 06 2020
revised: 01 06 2020
pubmed: 22 6 2020
medline: 19 8 2021
entrez: 22 6 2020
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

This study aims to determine the probability of progression of myopic maculopathy according to age. This is a longitudinal observational study of single-center retrospective cohort of Caucasian patients formed by 212 consecutive adults with high myopia. Main outcome measures were age, visual acuity (VA), refractive error (RE), follow-up time, and the macular status assessed at least 5 years apart according to the Meta-Analysis of Pathologic Myopia Study Group. The progression rate was calculated based on per 1000 eyes/year. Multistate models were fitted to identify the predictive factors and to calculate the most probable age of progression onset using the Aalen-Johansen estimator. We studied 220 eyes of 122 Caucasian patients. Mean age was 48.18 ± 14.1, mean follow-up 12.73 ± 5.81 years. One-hundred and fifty-two (69.1%) eyes progressed of category, and 96 (44%) worsened a mean of 0.3 logMAR units during follow-up. The progression rate was 32.21/1000 eyes/year. The probability of progressing increased with age; it was higher in women if there was a family history of myopia, worse VA, higher RE, or wide macular staphyloma. The probability of progressing from category 1 was > 0.6 after 70 years of age; from category 2, it was 0.7 after 70 years; and 0.5 from category 3 after 75 years. If choroidal neovascularization (CNV) appeared, this probability exceeded 0.7 between ages 45 and 55 for all categories. The progression rate is lower than in a Japanese series. The vision worsened with disease progression, and the probability of both happening increased after the age of 70-75. If CNV appears, the risk of progression is very high at the age of 45-55.

Identifiants

pubmed: 32564136
doi: 10.1007/s00417-020-04795-5
pii: 10.1007/s00417-020-04795-5
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Meta-Analysis

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

81-92

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Auteurs

Rosa M Coco-Martin (RM)

Instituto Universitario de Oftalmobiología Aplicada (IOBA), Universidad de Valladolid, Campus Miguel Delibes, P° de Belén n° 17, 47011, Valladolid, Spain. rosa@ioba.med.uva.es.
Red Temática de Investigación Cooperativa en Salud de Oftalmologia (Oftared), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain. rosa@ioba.med.uva.es.

Minal Belani-Raju (M)

Instituto Universitario de Oftalmobiología Aplicada (IOBA), Universidad de Valladolid, Campus Miguel Delibes, P° de Belén n° 17, 47011, Valladolid, Spain.
Hospital Universitario Río Hortega, Valladolid, Spain.

Daniel de la Fuente-Gomez (D)

Instituto Universitario de Oftalmobiología Aplicada (IOBA), Universidad de Valladolid, Campus Miguel Delibes, P° de Belén n° 17, 47011, Valladolid, Spain.

María R Sanabria (MR)

Instituto Universitario de Oftalmobiología Aplicada (IOBA), Universidad de Valladolid, Campus Miguel Delibes, P° de Belén n° 17, 47011, Valladolid, Spain.
Palencia Hospital Complex, Palencia, Spain.

Itziar Fernández (I)

Instituto Universitario de Oftalmobiología Aplicada (IOBA), Universidad de Valladolid, Campus Miguel Delibes, P° de Belén n° 17, 47011, Valladolid, Spain.
Department of Statistics, University of Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain.

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