Spatio-Temporal Dynamic of Malaria Incidence: A Comparison of Two Ecological Zones in Mali.

generalized additive models geo-epidemiology lag malaria normalized difference vegetation index passive case detection plasmodium falciparum principal components analysis

Journal

International journal of environmental research and public health
ISSN: 1660-4601
Titre abrégé: Int J Environ Res Public Health
Pays: Switzerland
ID NLM: 101238455

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
30 06 2020
Historique:
received: 27 04 2020
revised: 19 06 2020
accepted: 23 06 2020
entrez: 8 7 2020
pubmed: 8 7 2020
medline: 24 11 2020
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Malaria transmission largely depends on environmental, climatic, and hydrological conditions. In Mali, malaria epidemiological patterns are nested within three ecological zones. This study aimed at assessing the relationship between those conditions and the incidence of malaria in Dangassa and Koila, Mali. Malaria data was collected through passive case detection at community health facilities of each study site from June 2015 to January 2017. Climate and environmental data were obtained over the same time period from the Goddard Earth Sciences (Giovanni) platform and hydrological data from Mali hydraulic services. A generalized additive model was used to determine the lagged time between each principal component analysis derived component and the incidence of malaria cases, and also used to analyze the relationship between malaria and the lagged components in a multivariate approach. Malaria transmission patterns were bimodal at both sites, but peak and lull periods were longer lasting for Koila study site. Temperatures were associated with malaria incidence in both sites. In Dangassa, the wind speed (

Identifiants

pubmed: 32629876
pii: ijerph17134698
doi: 10.3390/ijerph17134698
pmc: PMC7370019
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Subventions

Organisme : FIC NIH HHS
ID : D43 TW008652
Pays : United States
Organisme : NIAID NIH HHS
ID : U19 AI089696
Pays : United States
Organisme : NIAID NIH HHS
ID : U19 AI129387
Pays : United States

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Auteurs

François Freddy Ateba (FF)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.
Department of Mathematics, University of Quebec at Montreal (UQAM), Montréal, QC H2X 3Y7, Canada.

Issaka Sagara (I)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.
Department of Public Health Education and Research, Faculty of Medicine and Odonto-Stomatology, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Nafomon Sogoba (N)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Mahamoudou Touré (M)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Drissa Konaté (D)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Sory Ibrahim Diawara (SI)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Séidina Aboubacar Samba Diakité (SAS)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Ayouba Diarra (A)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Mamadou D Coulibaly (MD)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Mathias Dolo (M)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Amagana Dolo (A)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Aissata Sacko (A)

Department of Public Health Education and Research, Faculty of Medicine and Odonto-Stomatology, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Sidibe M'baye Thiam (SM)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Aliou Sissako (A)

Laboratory of Applied Molecular Biology (LBMA), Science and Technologies Faculty (FST), University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Lansana Sangaré (L)

Laboratory of Applied Molecular Biology (LBMA), Science and Technologies Faculty (FST), University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Mahamadou Diakité (M)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Ousmane A Koita (OA)

Laboratory of Applied Molecular Biology (LBMA), Science and Technologies Faculty (FST), University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Mady Cissoko (M)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.
Aix Marseille Université, APHM, INSERM, IRD, SESSTIM, Hop Timone, BioSTIC, Biostatistic & ICT, 13005 Marseille, France.

Sékou Fantamady Traore (SF)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Peter John Winch (PJ)

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA.

Manuel Febrero-Bande (M)

Department of Statistics, Mathematical Analysis and Optimization, University of Santiago de Compostela, 15782 Santiago de Compostela, Spain.

Jeffrey G Shaffer (JG)

Department of Global Biostatistics and Data Science, School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, Louisiana, United States of America, 1440 Canal Street, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA.

Donald J Krogtad (DJ)

Department of Global Biostatistics and Data Science, School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, Louisiana, United States of America, 1440 Canal Street, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA.

Hannah Catherine Marker (HC)

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA.

Seydou Doumbia (S)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.
Department of Public Health Education and Research, Faculty of Medicine and Odonto-Stomatology, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.

Jean Gaudart (J)

Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Dentistry, University of Sciences, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Bamako, Mali.
Aix Marseille Université, APHM, INSERM, IRD, SESSTIM, Hop Timone, BioSTIC, Biostatistic & ICT, 13005 Marseille, France.

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