Current Trends and Projected Burden of Primary and Revision Total Knee Arthroplasty in Korea Between 2010 and 2030.
burden
prediction
revision
total knee arthroplasty
trends
Journal
The Journal of arthroplasty
ISSN: 1532-8406
Titre abrégé: J Arthroplasty
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 8703515
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
01 2021
01 2021
Historique:
received:
06
03
2020
revised:
19
06
2020
accepted:
22
06
2020
pubmed:
25
7
2020
medline:
29
4
2021
entrez:
25
7
2020
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
This study aimed to (1) document the total knee arthroplasty (TKA) use in Korea from 2010 to 2018, (2) evaluate whether rapid increase in TKA use has been maintained, and (3) estimate the projected TKA burden to 2030 based on the current use. Using the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Korean database, procedural rate, growth rate, and revision burden of primary and revision TKAs in Korea between 2010 and 2018 were analyzed. TKA procedural numbers were also stratified by age and gender. Then, the projected TKA burden to 2030 including procedural number and medical costs were estimated using linear and quasi-Poisson regression models, respectively. Between 2010 and 2018, procedural rate of primary and revision TKAs has increased by 35% and 68%, respectively. More than 85% of primary and revision TKAs were performed on female patients, and the subgroup of patients aged ≥80 years showed a marked increase in primary and revision TKA use. According to the projection model, the number of primary and revision TKAs is predicted to increase between 53% and 91%, and between 75% and 155%, respectively, by 2030. Between 2010 and 2018, the procedural rates of primary and revision TKAs in Korea increased gradually by 35% and 68%, respectively, and previously observed striking growth rate has markedly slowed. Nevertheless, compared to 2018, the burdens of primary and revision TKAs are projected to increase up to 91% and 155%, respectively, by 2030. Therapeutic Level III.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
This study aimed to (1) document the total knee arthroplasty (TKA) use in Korea from 2010 to 2018, (2) evaluate whether rapid increase in TKA use has been maintained, and (3) estimate the projected TKA burden to 2030 based on the current use.
METHODS
Using the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Korean database, procedural rate, growth rate, and revision burden of primary and revision TKAs in Korea between 2010 and 2018 were analyzed. TKA procedural numbers were also stratified by age and gender. Then, the projected TKA burden to 2030 including procedural number and medical costs were estimated using linear and quasi-Poisson regression models, respectively.
RESULTS
Between 2010 and 2018, procedural rate of primary and revision TKAs has increased by 35% and 68%, respectively. More than 85% of primary and revision TKAs were performed on female patients, and the subgroup of patients aged ≥80 years showed a marked increase in primary and revision TKA use. According to the projection model, the number of primary and revision TKAs is predicted to increase between 53% and 91%, and between 75% and 155%, respectively, by 2030.
CONCLUSION
Between 2010 and 2018, the procedural rates of primary and revision TKAs in Korea increased gradually by 35% and 68%, respectively, and previously observed striking growth rate has markedly slowed. Nevertheless, compared to 2018, the burdens of primary and revision TKAs are projected to increase up to 91% and 155%, respectively, by 2030.
LEVEL OF EVIDENCE
Therapeutic Level III.
Identifiants
pubmed: 32703708
pii: S0883-5403(20)30729-4
doi: 10.1016/j.arth.2020.06.064
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
93-101Informations de copyright
Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.