Impacts of transportation and meteorological factors on the transmission of COVID-19.

COVID-19 China Interaction Meteorological factors Transportation

Journal

International journal of hygiene and environmental health
ISSN: 1618-131X
Titre abrégé: Int J Hyg Environ Health
Pays: Germany
ID NLM: 100898843

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
09 2020
Historique:
received: 17 06 2020
revised: 03 08 2020
accepted: 21 08 2020
pubmed: 9 9 2020
medline: 16 11 2021
entrez: 8 9 2020
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

The ongoing pandemic of 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is challenging global public health response system. We aim to identify the risk factors for the transmission of COVID-19 using data on mainland China. We estimated attack rate (AR) at county level. Logistic regression was used to explore the role of transportation in the nationwide spread. Generalized additive model and stratified linear mixed-effects model were developed to identify the effects of multiple meteorological factors on local transmission. The ARs in affected counties ranged from 0.6 to 9750.4 per million persons, with a median of 8.8. The counties being intersected by railways, freeways, national highways or having airports had significantly higher risk for COVID-19 with adjusted odds ratios (ORs) of 1.40 (p = 0.001), 2.07 (p < 0.001), 1.31 (p = 0.04), and 1.70 (p < 0.001), respectively. The higher AR of COVID-19 was significantly associated with lower average temperature, moderate cumulative precipitation and higher wind speed. Significant pairwise interactions were found among above three meteorological factors with higher risk of COVID-19 under low temperature and moderate precipitation. Warm areas can also be in higher risk of the disease with the increasing wind speed. In conclusion, transportation and meteorological factors may play important roles in the transmission of COVID-19 in mainland China, and could be integrated in consideration by public health alarm systems to better prevent the disease.

Identifiants

pubmed: 32896785
pii: S1438-4639(20)30556-3
doi: 10.1016/j.ijheh.2020.113610
pmc: PMC7448770
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

113610

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2020 Elsevier GmbH. All rights reserved.

Auteurs

Jia-Te Wei (JT)

Institute of EcoHealth, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Yun-Xia Liu (YX)

Institute for Medical Dataology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Yu-Chen Zhu (YC)

Institute for Medical Dataology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Jie Qian (J)

School of Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, PR China.

Run-Ze Ye (RZ)

Institute of EcoHealth, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Chun-Yu Li (CY)

Institute for Medical Dataology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Xiao-Kang Ji (XK)

Institute for Medical Dataology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Hong-Kai Li (HK)

Institute for Medical Dataology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Chang Qi (C)

Institute for Medical Dataology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Ying Wang (Y)

Institute for Medical Dataology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Fan Yang (F)

Institute for Medical Dataology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Yu-Hao Zhou (YH)

State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing, PR China.

Ran Yan (R)

Institute for Medical Dataology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Xiao-Ming Cui (XM)

State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing, PR China.

Yuan-Li Liu (YL)

School of Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, PR China.

Na Jia (N)

State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing, PR China.

Shi-Xue Li (SX)

Institute of EcoHealth, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China; Institute for Medical Dataology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Xiu-Jun Li (XJ)

Institute of EcoHealth, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China; Institute for Medical Dataology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China.

Fu-Zhong Xue (FZ)

Institute of EcoHealth, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China; Institute for Medical Dataology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China. Electronic address: xuefzh@sdu.edu.cn.

Lin Zhao (L)

Institute of EcoHealth, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China. Electronic address: zhaolin1989@sdu.edu.cn.

Wu-Chun Cao (WC)

Institute of EcoHealth, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, PR China; State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing, PR China. Electronic address: caowuchun@126.com.

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