Ecological niche modeling of the pantropical orchid Polystachya concreta (Orchidaceae) and its response to climate change.
Journal
Scientific reports
ISSN: 2045-2322
Titre abrégé: Sci Rep
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101563288
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
09 09 2020
09 09 2020
Historique:
received:
20
02
2019
accepted:
19
08
2020
entrez:
10
9
2020
pubmed:
11
9
2020
medline:
18
5
2021
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Climate is the dominant control factor on the spatial distribution of organisms on a global scale and global warming is predicted to become a major cause of species extinctions. In our study ecological niche modeling (ENM) was used to estimate the effect of projected future climate changes on the pantropical orchid Polystacha concreta as well as to reconstruct changes in the distribution of the suitable climatic niches of this species since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). The study revealed small differences in the niches occupied by populations of P. concreta recorded in various continents; however, these alterations will become more significant in regard to future climatic change. While losses of suitable habitats of the studied orchid will occur in the Americas and Africa, global warming will be favorable for Asian populations. Our study suggests a significant loss of niches since the LGM which indicates that the currently observed loss of habitats is not only the result of human activity but also of natural changes of the Earth's climate. From the obtained models we identified the areas that will be the most resistant regarding the modifications caused by climate change.
Identifiants
pubmed: 32908206
doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-71732-1
pii: 10.1038/s41598-020-71732-1
pmc: PMC7481249
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
14801Références
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