Impact of breastfeeding, maternal antiretroviral treatment and health service factors on 18-month vertical transmission of HIV and HIV-free survival: results from a nationally representative HIV-exposed infant cohort, South Africa.
Public health
child health
epidemiology
Journal
Journal of epidemiology and community health
ISSN: 1470-2738
Titre abrégé: J Epidemiol Community Health
Pays: England
ID NLM: 7909766
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
12 2020
12 2020
Historique:
received:
21
12
2019
revised:
02
05
2020
accepted:
07
07
2020
pubmed:
28
9
2020
medline:
3
9
2021
entrez:
27
9
2020
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
We analysed the impact of breastfeeding, antiretroviral drugs and health service factors on cumulative (6 weeks to 18 months) vertical transmission of HIV (MTCT) and 'MTCT-or-death', in South Africa, and compared estimates with global impact criteria to validate MTCT elimination: (1) <5% final MTCT and (2) case rate ≤50 (new paediatric HIV infections/100 000 live births). 9120 infants aged 6 weeks were enrolled in a nationally representative survey. Of 2811 HIV-exposed uninfected infants (HEU), 2644 enrolled into follow-up (at 3, 6, 9, 12, 15 and 18 months). Using Kaplan-Meier analysis and weighted survey domain-based Cox proportional hazards models, we estimated cumulative risk of MTCT and 'MTCT or death' and risk factors for time-to-event outcomes, adjusting for study design and loss-to-follow-up. Cumulative (final) MTCT was 4.3% (95% CI 3.7% to 5.0%); case rate was 1290. Postnatal MTCT (>6 weeks to 18 months) was 1.7% (95% CI 1.2% to 2.4%). Cumulative 'MTCT-or-death' was 6.3% (95% CI 5.5% to 7.3%); 81% and 62% of cumulative MTCT and 'MTCT-or-death', respectively, occurred by 6 months. Postnatal MTCT increased with unknown maternal CD4-cell-count (adjusted HR (aHR 2.66 (1.5-5.6)), undocumented maternal HIV status (aHR 2.21 (1.0-4.7)) and exclusive (aHR 2.3 (1.0-5.2)) or mixed (aHR 3.7 (1.2-11.4)) breastfeeding. Cumulative 'MTCT-or death' increased in households with 'no refrigerator' (aHR 1.7 (1.1-2.9)) and decreased if infants used nevirapine at 6 weeks (aHR 0.4 (0.2-0.9)). While the <5% final MTCT target was met, the case rate was 25-times above target. Systems are needed in the first 6 months post-delivery to optimise HEU health and fast-track ART initiation in newly diagnosed mothers.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
We analysed the impact of breastfeeding, antiretroviral drugs and health service factors on cumulative (6 weeks to 18 months) vertical transmission of HIV (MTCT) and 'MTCT-or-death', in South Africa, and compared estimates with global impact criteria to validate MTCT elimination: (1) <5% final MTCT and (2) case rate ≤50 (new paediatric HIV infections/100 000 live births).
METHODS
9120 infants aged 6 weeks were enrolled in a nationally representative survey. Of 2811 HIV-exposed uninfected infants (HEU), 2644 enrolled into follow-up (at 3, 6, 9, 12, 15 and 18 months). Using Kaplan-Meier analysis and weighted survey domain-based Cox proportional hazards models, we estimated cumulative risk of MTCT and 'MTCT or death' and risk factors for time-to-event outcomes, adjusting for study design and loss-to-follow-up.
RESULTS
Cumulative (final) MTCT was 4.3% (95% CI 3.7% to 5.0%); case rate was 1290. Postnatal MTCT (>6 weeks to 18 months) was 1.7% (95% CI 1.2% to 2.4%). Cumulative 'MTCT-or-death' was 6.3% (95% CI 5.5% to 7.3%); 81% and 62% of cumulative MTCT and 'MTCT-or-death', respectively, occurred by 6 months. Postnatal MTCT increased with unknown maternal CD4-cell-count (adjusted HR (aHR 2.66 (1.5-5.6)), undocumented maternal HIV status (aHR 2.21 (1.0-4.7)) and exclusive (aHR 2.3 (1.0-5.2)) or mixed (aHR 3.7 (1.2-11.4)) breastfeeding. Cumulative 'MTCT-or death' increased in households with 'no refrigerator' (aHR 1.7 (1.1-2.9)) and decreased if infants used nevirapine at 6 weeks (aHR 0.4 (0.2-0.9)).
CONCLUSIONS
While the <5% final MTCT target was met, the case rate was 25-times above target. Systems are needed in the first 6 months post-delivery to optimise HEU health and fast-track ART initiation in newly diagnosed mothers.
Identifiants
pubmed: 32980812
pii: jech-2019-213453
doi: 10.1136/jech-2019-213453
doi:
Substances chimiques
Anti-HIV Agents
0
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.
Review
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
1069-1077Subventions
Organisme : NCHHSTP CDC HHS
ID : U2G PS001137
Pays : United States
Organisme : PEPFAR
Pays : United States
Organisme : CGH CDC HHS
ID : U2G GH001150
Pays : United States
Informations de copyright
© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
Competing interests: None declared.