Statistical approaches for meta-analysis of genetic mutation prevalence.

ascertainment bias germline mutations likelihood-based estimation meta-analysis prevalence

Journal

Genetic epidemiology
ISSN: 1098-2272
Titre abrégé: Genet Epidemiol
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 8411723

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
03 2021
Historique:
received: 28 01 2020
revised: 23 08 2020
accepted: 03 09 2020
pubmed: 2 10 2020
medline: 21 10 2021
entrez: 1 10 2020
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Estimating the prevalence of rare germline genetic mutations in the general population is of interest as it can inform genetic counseling and risk management. Most studies that estimate the prevalence of mutations are performed in high-risk populations, and each study is designed with differing inclusion criteria, resulting in ascertained populations. Quantifying the effects of ascertainment is necessary to estimate the prevalence in the general population. This quantification is difficult as the inclusion criteria is often based on disease status and/or family history. Combining estimates from multiple studies through a meta-analysis is challenging due to the variety of study designs and ascertainment mechanisms as well as the complexity of quantifying the effect of these mechanisms. We provide guidelines on how to quantify the ascertainment mechanism for a wide range of settings and propose a general approach for conducting a meta-analysis in these complex settings by incorporating study-specific ascertainment mechanisms into a joint likelihood function. We implement the proposed likelihood-based approach using both frequentist and Bayesian methodologies. We evaluate these approaches in simulations and show that the methods are robust and produce unbiased estimates of the prevalence. An advantage of the Bayesian approach is that it can easily incorporate uncertainty in ascertainment probability values. We apply our methods to estimate the prevalence of PALB2 mutations in the United States by combining data from multiple studies and obtain a prevalence estimate of around 0.02%.

Identifiants

pubmed: 33000511
doi: 10.1002/gepi.22364
pmc: PMC10391692
mid: NIHMS1746091
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Meta-Analysis Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

154-170

Subventions

Organisme : NCI NIH HHS
ID : P30 CA006516
Pays : United States
Organisme : NCI NIH HHS
ID : T32 CA009337
Pays : United States

Informations de copyright

© 2020 Wiley Periodicals LLC.

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Auteurs

Margaux L A Hujoel (MLA)

Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Division of Biostatistics, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Giovanni Parmigiani (G)

Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Division of Biostatistics, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Danielle Braun (D)

Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Division of Biostatistics, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

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