Estimates of the rate of infection and asymptomatic COVID-19 disease in a population sample from SE England.


Journal

The Journal of infection
ISSN: 1532-2742
Titre abrégé: J Infect
Pays: England
ID NLM: 7908424

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
12 2020
Historique:
received: 01 10 2020
accepted: 11 10 2020
pubmed: 18 10 2020
medline: 8 1 2021
entrez: 17 10 2020
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Understanding of the true asymptomatic rate of infection of SARS-CoV-2 is currently limited, as is understanding of the population-based seroprevalence after the first wave of COVID-19 within the UK. The majority of data thus far come from hospitalised patients, with little focus on general population cases, or their symptoms. We undertook enzyme linked immunosorbent assay characterisation of IgM and IgG responses against SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein and nucleocapsid protein of 431 unselected general-population participants of the TwinsUK cohort from South-East England, aged 19-86 (median age 48; 85% female). 382 participants completed prospective logging of 14 COVID-19 related symptoms via the COVID Symptom Study App, allowing consideration of serology alongside individual symptoms, and a predictive algorithm for estimated COVID-19 previously modelled on PCR positive individuals from a dataset of over 2 million. We demonstrated a seroprevalence of 12% (51 participants of 431). Of 48 seropositive individuals with full symptom data, nine (19%) were fully asymptomatic, and 16 (27%) were asymptomatic for core COVID-19 symptoms: fever, cough or anosmia. Specificity of anosmia for seropositivity was 95%, compared to 88% for fever cough and anosmia combined. 34 individuals in the cohort were predicted to be Covid-19 positive using the App algorithm, and of those, 18 (52%) were seropositive. Seroprevalence amongst adults from London and South-East England was 12%, and 19% of seropositive individuals with prospective symptom logging were fully asymptomatic throughout the study. Anosmia demonstrated the highest symptom specificity for SARS-CoV-2 antibody response. NIHR BRC, CDRF, ZOE global LTD, RST-UKRI/MRC.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND
Understanding of the true asymptomatic rate of infection of SARS-CoV-2 is currently limited, as is understanding of the population-based seroprevalence after the first wave of COVID-19 within the UK. The majority of data thus far come from hospitalised patients, with little focus on general population cases, or their symptoms.
METHODS
We undertook enzyme linked immunosorbent assay characterisation of IgM and IgG responses against SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein and nucleocapsid protein of 431 unselected general-population participants of the TwinsUK cohort from South-East England, aged 19-86 (median age 48; 85% female). 382 participants completed prospective logging of 14 COVID-19 related symptoms via the COVID Symptom Study App, allowing consideration of serology alongside individual symptoms, and a predictive algorithm for estimated COVID-19 previously modelled on PCR positive individuals from a dataset of over 2 million.
FINDINGS
We demonstrated a seroprevalence of 12% (51 participants of 431). Of 48 seropositive individuals with full symptom data, nine (19%) were fully asymptomatic, and 16 (27%) were asymptomatic for core COVID-19 symptoms: fever, cough or anosmia. Specificity of anosmia for seropositivity was 95%, compared to 88% for fever cough and anosmia combined. 34 individuals in the cohort were predicted to be Covid-19 positive using the App algorithm, and of those, 18 (52%) were seropositive.
INTERPRETATION
Seroprevalence amongst adults from London and South-East England was 12%, and 19% of seropositive individuals with prospective symptom logging were fully asymptomatic throughout the study. Anosmia demonstrated the highest symptom specificity for SARS-CoV-2 antibody response.
FUNDING
NIHR BRC, CDRF, ZOE global LTD, RST-UKRI/MRC.

Identifiants

pubmed: 33068628
pii: S0163-4453(20)30653-8
doi: 10.1016/j.jinf.2020.10.011
pmc: PMC7557299
pii:
doi:

Substances chimiques

Antibodies, Viral 0
Immunoglobulin G 0
Immunoglobulin M 0
Spike Glycoprotein, Coronavirus 0
spike glycoprotein, SARS-CoV 0

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

931-936

Subventions

Organisme : Medical Research Council
ID : MR/S023747/1
Pays : United Kingdom
Organisme : Medical Research Council
ID : MC_PC_15068
Pays : United Kingdom
Organisme : Wellcome Trust
Pays : United Kingdom
Organisme : Medical Research Council
ID : MC_PC_14105
Pays : United Kingdom
Organisme : Medical Research Council
ID : MR/M016560/1
Pays : United Kingdom

Commentaires et corrections

Type : CommentIn

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2020. Published by Elsevier Ltd.

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Auteurs

Philippa M Wells (PM)

Department of Twin Research, King's College London, St Thomas' Hospital, London SE1 7EH, UK.

Katie J Doores (KJ)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Simon Couvreur (S)

Department of Twin Research, King's College London, St Thomas' Hospital, London SE1 7EH, UK.

Rocio Martinez Nunez (RM)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Jeffrey Seow (J)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Carl Graham (C)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Sam Acors (S)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Neophytos Kouphou (N)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Stuart J D Neil (SJD)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Richard S Tedder (RS)

Department of Infectious Disease, Imperial College London, UK.

Pedro M Matos (PM)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Kate Poulton (K)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Maria Jose Lista (MJ)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Ruth E Dickenson (RE)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Helin Sertkaya (H)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Thomas J A Maguire (TJA)

Centre for Inflammation Biology and Cancer Immunology, Department of Inflammation Biology, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Edward J Scourfield (EJ)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Ruth C E Bowyer (RCE)

Department of Twin Research, King's College London, St Thomas' Hospital, London SE1 7EH, UK.

Deborah Hart (D)

Department of Twin Research, King's College London, St Thomas' Hospital, London SE1 7EH, UK.

Aoife O'Byrne (A)

Centre for Inflammation Biology and Cancer Immunology, Department of Inflammation Biology, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Kathryn J A Steel (KJA)

Centre for Inflammation Biology and Cancer Immunology, Department of Inflammation Biology, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Oliver Hemmings (O)

Department of Immunobiology, School of Immunology and Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Carolina Rosadas (C)

Department of Infectious Disease, Imperial College London, UK.

Myra O McClure (MO)

Department of Infectious Disease, Imperial College London, UK.

Joan Capedevilla-Pujol (J)

Zoe Global Ltd., Westminster Bridge Rd, London, UK.

Jonathan Wolf (J)

Zoe Global Ltd., Westminster Bridge Rd, London, UK.

Sebastien Ourselin (S)

School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Matthew A Brown (MA)

Department of Medical & Molecular Genetics, Guy's and St Thomas' Hospital NHS Trust and King's College London NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, London, UK.

Michael H Malim (MH)

Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.

Tim Spector (T)

Department of Twin Research, King's College London, St Thomas' Hospital, London SE1 7EH, UK.

Claire J Steves (CJ)

Department of Twin Research, King's College London, St Thomas' Hospital, London SE1 7EH, UK. Electronic address: Claire.J.Steves@kcl.ac.uk.

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