Chronic Liver Disease and Metabolic Comorbidities in Healthy Young Males Followed for 65 Years: The Manitoba Follow-up Study.
Chronic Liver Disease
Metabolic Syndrome
Mortality
Journal
Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association
ISSN: 1542-7714
Titre abrégé: Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 101160775
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
11 2021
11 2021
Historique:
received:
23
04
2020
revised:
11
10
2020
accepted:
13
10
2020
pubmed:
21
10
2020
medline:
11
11
2021
entrez:
20
10
2020
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
The prevalence of chronic liver disease (CLD) is largely derived from cross-sectional epidemiologic surveys. The goal of this long-term, prospective study was to document the lifetime risk of developing chronic liver disease and determine the impact of common metabolic conditions associated with metabolic syndrome (MetS) on the development and outcomes of CLD. 3,983 air force men were enrolled in the Manitoba Follow-up Study in 1948. The comprehensive database on results of routine physicals and health encounters was examined for evidence of CLD and MetS. The joint relationship between CLD and components of MetS on mortality was examined using Cox proportional hazard model. In 65 follow-up years, 5.2% of men developed CLD and 6.4% MetS. Hypertension was the strongest predictor of CLD (HR 2.958, 95% CI - 2.065 to 4.236, p < .0001), followed by insulin resistance /diabetes mellitus (IR/DM) (2.008, 95% CI - 1.332 to 3.027, p = .0009) and obesity (1.958, 95% CI - 1.419 to 2.703, p < .0001). Relative to men without MetS comorbidities, an increasing gradient of risk for CLD was apparent with increasing numbers of MetS components; the HR of 3.67, 5.97 and 14.3 for IR/DM, IR/DM + one component, and IR/DM + two or more components respectively. The relative risk of mortality in men with vs. without CLD was 3.33 (95% CI - 2.83 to 3.91, p < .0001) and 1.505 (95% CI - 1.31 to 1.73, p < .0001) in men with vs. without MetS. CLD and MetS independently increase the relative risk of mortality; the magnitude of the effect is greater in CLD.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND & AIMS
The prevalence of chronic liver disease (CLD) is largely derived from cross-sectional epidemiologic surveys. The goal of this long-term, prospective study was to document the lifetime risk of developing chronic liver disease and determine the impact of common metabolic conditions associated with metabolic syndrome (MetS) on the development and outcomes of CLD.
METHODS
3,983 air force men were enrolled in the Manitoba Follow-up Study in 1948. The comprehensive database on results of routine physicals and health encounters was examined for evidence of CLD and MetS. The joint relationship between CLD and components of MetS on mortality was examined using Cox proportional hazard model.
RESULTS
In 65 follow-up years, 5.2% of men developed CLD and 6.4% MetS. Hypertension was the strongest predictor of CLD (HR 2.958, 95% CI - 2.065 to 4.236, p < .0001), followed by insulin resistance /diabetes mellitus (IR/DM) (2.008, 95% CI - 1.332 to 3.027, p = .0009) and obesity (1.958, 95% CI - 1.419 to 2.703, p < .0001). Relative to men without MetS comorbidities, an increasing gradient of risk for CLD was apparent with increasing numbers of MetS components; the HR of 3.67, 5.97 and 14.3 for IR/DM, IR/DM + one component, and IR/DM + two or more components respectively. The relative risk of mortality in men with vs. without CLD was 3.33 (95% CI - 2.83 to 3.91, p < .0001) and 1.505 (95% CI - 1.31 to 1.73, p < .0001) in men with vs. without MetS.
CONCLUSIONS
CLD and MetS independently increase the relative risk of mortality; the magnitude of the effect is greater in CLD.
Identifiants
pubmed: 33080354
pii: S1542-3565(20)31441-5
doi: 10.1016/j.cgh.2020.10.028
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
2417-2424.e2Informations de copyright
Copyright © 2021 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.