The potential global distribution of the papaya mealybug, Paracoccus marginatus, a polyphagous pest.
CLIMEX
bioclimatic model
climatic suitability
niche model
process modelling
Journal
Pest management science
ISSN: 1526-4998
Titre abrégé: Pest Manag Sci
Pays: England
ID NLM: 100898744
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
Mar 2021
Mar 2021
Historique:
received:
05
08
2020
revised:
30
09
2020
accepted:
21
10
2020
pubmed:
23
10
2020
medline:
24
2
2021
entrez:
22
10
2020
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
The papaya mealybug, Paracoccus marginatus, is a highly polyphagous invasive pest that affects more than 200 plants, many of which are of economic importance. We modelled the potential distribution of P. marginatus using CLIMEX, a process-oriented, climate-based niche model. We combined this model with spatial data on irrigation and cropping patterns to increase the real-world applicability of the model. The resulting model agreed with known distribution points for this pest and with broad areas where P. marginatus has been reported, but for which no GPS data were available. Our model highlights the potential expansion of P. marginatus into novel areas in Central and East Africa, as well as further expansion in Central America and Asia, as these areas are highly climatically suitable, and have large expanses of suitable crop hosts. It also highlights areas, such as the central and eastern states of the USA as well as the western provinces of China, that are suitable for seasonal invasions of P. marginatus. Our results offer refined resolution on areas with high potential for invasion by P. marginatus. © 2020 Society of Chemical Industry.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
BACKGROUND
The papaya mealybug, Paracoccus marginatus, is a highly polyphagous invasive pest that affects more than 200 plants, many of which are of economic importance. We modelled the potential distribution of P. marginatus using CLIMEX, a process-oriented, climate-based niche model. We combined this model with spatial data on irrigation and cropping patterns to increase the real-world applicability of the model.
RESULTS
RESULTS
The resulting model agreed with known distribution points for this pest and with broad areas where P. marginatus has been reported, but for which no GPS data were available. Our model highlights the potential expansion of P. marginatus into novel areas in Central and East Africa, as well as further expansion in Central America and Asia, as these areas are highly climatically suitable, and have large expanses of suitable crop hosts. It also highlights areas, such as the central and eastern states of the USA as well as the western provinces of China, that are suitable for seasonal invasions of P. marginatus.
CONCLUSION
CONCLUSIONS
Our results offer refined resolution on areas with high potential for invasion by P. marginatus. © 2020 Society of Chemical Industry.
Identifiants
pubmed: 33089608
doi: 10.1002/ps.6151
pmc: PMC7894313
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
1361-1370Informations de copyright
© 2020 Society of Chemical Industry.
Références
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