Human Vulnerability to Landslides.
disaster
landslide
mortality
probability of death
risk analysis
vulnerability
Journal
GeoHealth
ISSN: 2471-1403
Titre abrégé: Geohealth
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 101706476
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
Oct 2020
Oct 2020
Historique:
received:
10
06
2020
revised:
24
08
2020
accepted:
15
09
2020
entrez:
23
10
2020
pubmed:
24
10
2020
medline:
24
10
2020
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
Landslides pose a devastating threat to human health, killing thousands of people annually. Human vulnerability is a crucial element of landslide risk reduction, yet up until now, all methods for estimating the human consequences of landslides rely on subjective, expert judgment. Furthermore, these methods do not explore the underlying causes of mortality or inform strategies to reduce landslide risk. In light of these issues, we develop a data-driven tool to estimate an individual's probability of death based on landslide intensity, which can be used directly in landslide risk assessment. We find that between inundation depths of approximately 1-6 m, human behavior is the primary driver of mortality. Landslide vulnerability is strongly correlated with the economic development of a region, but landslide losses are not stratified by gender and age to the degree of other natural hazards. We observe that relatively simple actions, such as moving to an upper floor or a prepared refuge space, increase the odds of survival by up to a factor of 12. Additionally, community-scale hazard awareness programs and training for citizen first responders offer a potent means to maximize survival rates in landslides.
Identifiants
pubmed: 33094206
doi: 10.1029/2020GH000287
pii: GH2190
pmc: PMC7567151
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Pagination
e2020GH000287Informations de copyright
©2020. The Authors.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
The authors declare no conflicts of interest relevant to this study.
Références
Risk Anal. 2016 Jun;36(6):1188-210
pubmed: 26616470
Prehosp Disaster Med. 2013 Aug;28(4):314-21
pubmed: 23746361
Acta Psychiatr Scand. 2001 Dec;104(6):438-42
pubmed: 11782236
Environ Int. 2012 Oct 15;47:37-47
pubmed: 22750033
Popul Health Metr. 2013 Apr 25;11(1):5
pubmed: 23618373
Am J Public Health. 1976 Jan;66(1):38-42
pubmed: 1247135
J Trauma Stress. 2004 Aug;17(4):283-92
pubmed: 15462535
BMC Public Health. 2015 Nov 17;15:1139
pubmed: 26576816
Disasters. 2010 Jul;34(3):644-56
pubmed: 20298266
Disasters. 2009 Oct;33(4):705-20
pubmed: 19459918
Environ Manage. 2007 Oct;40(4):649-64
pubmed: 17638046
Am J Disaster Med. 2013 Autumn;8(4):253-8
pubmed: 24481889
Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2016 Apr;10(2):248-52
pubmed: 26744090
Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2016 Dec;10(6):832-837
pubmed: 27572097
J Anxiety Disord. 2011 Apr;25(3):362-8
pubmed: 21126851
Food Nutr Bull. 2002 Dec;23(4 Suppl):5-8
pubmed: 12503225
Sci Total Environ. 2018 Jan 1;610-611:867-879
pubmed: 28826124
Eng Geol. 2013 Mar 14;155:31-44
pubmed: 27087696
Am Surg. 2019 Oct 1;85(10):1094-1098
pubmed: 31657301
J Trop Pediatr Environ Child Health. 1972 Dec;18(4):279
pubmed: 4495129
PLoS Curr. 2013 Jan 07;5:e50585b8e6efd1
pubmed: 23326762
N Engl J Med. 2010 Mar 11;362(10):872-3
pubmed: 20181966
Science. 1977 Aug 12;197(4304):638-43
pubmed: 17776257
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2017 Feb 21;14(2):
pubmed: 28230810
PLoS Curr. 2015 Apr 30;7:
pubmed: 25969795