Synovial fluid fingerprinting in end-stage knee osteoarthritis: a novel biomarker concept.

Biomarker Machine learning Osteoarthritis

Journal

Bone & joint research
ISSN: 2046-3758
Titre abrégé: Bone Joint Res
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101586057

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
Sep 2020
Historique:
entrez: 26 10 2020
pubmed: 27 10 2020
medline: 27 10 2020
Statut: epublish

Résumé

The lack of disease-modifying treatments for osteoarthritis (OA) is linked to a shortage of suitable biomarkers. This study combines multi-molecule synovial fluid analysis with machine learning to produce an accurate diagnostic biomarker model for end-stage knee OA (esOA). Synovial fluid (SF) from patients with esOA, non-OA knee injury, and inflammatory knee arthritis were analyzed for 35 potential markers using immunoassays. Partial least square discriminant analysis (PLS-DA) was used to derive a biomarker model for cohort classification. The ability of the biomarker model to diagnose esOA was validated by identical wide-spectrum SF analysis of a test cohort of ten patients with esOA. PLS-DA produced a streamlined biomarker model with excellent sensitivity (95%), specificity (98.4%), and reliability (97.4%). The eight-biomarker model produced a fingerprint for esOA comprising type IIA procollagen N-terminal propeptide (PIIANP), tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase (TIMP)-1, a disintegrin and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin motifs 4 (ADAMTS-4), monocyte chemoattractant protein (MCP)-1, interferon-γ-inducible protein-10 (IP-10), and transforming growth factor (TGF)-β3. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis demonstrated excellent discriminatory accuracy: area under the curve (AUC) being 0.970 for esOA, 0.957 for knee injury, and 1 for inflammatory arthritis. All ten validation test patients were classified correctly as esOA (accuracy 100%; reliability 100%) by the biomarker model. SF analysis coupled with machine learning produced a partially validated biomarker model with cohort-specific fingerprints that accurately and reliably discriminated esOA from knee injury and inflammatory arthritis with almost 100% efficacy. The presented findings and approach represent a new biomarker concept and potential diagnostic tool to stage disease in therapy trials and monitor the efficacy of such interventions.Cite this article:

Identifiants

pubmed: 33101658
doi: 10.1302/2046-3758.99.BJR-2019-0192.R1
pii: BJR-9-623
pmc: PMC7548522
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Pagination

623-632

Informations de copyright

© 2020 Author(s) et al.

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Auteurs

Chethan Jayadev (C)

Royal National Orthopaedic Hospital NHS Trust, Stanmore, UK.
Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Philippa Hulley (P)

Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Catherine Swales (C)

Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Sarah Snelling (S)

Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Gary Collins (G)

Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Botnar Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Peter Taylor (P)

Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Andrew Price (A)

Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Classifications MeSH