E-cigarette use is associated with subsequent cigarette use among young adult non-smokers, over and above a range of antecedent risk factors: a propensity score analysis.


Journal

Addiction (Abingdon, England)
ISSN: 1360-0443
Titre abrégé: Addiction
Pays: England
ID NLM: 9304118

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
05 2021
Historique:
revised: 18 02 2020
received: 20 11 2019
accepted: 23 10 2020
pubmed: 4 11 2020
medline: 30 9 2021
entrez: 3 11 2020
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

There is a public health concern that the use of e-cigarettes among non-smoking young adults could be associated with transition to combustible cigarette use. The current study is a quasi-experimental test of the relationship between e-cigarette use and subsequent combustible cigarette use among young adult non-smokers, accounting for a wide range of common risk factors. Logistic regression was used to predict combustible cigarette use on three or more occasions at age 23 years based on age 21 e-cigarette use. Inverse probability weighting (IPW) was used to account for confounding variables. Data were drawn from the Community Youth Development Study (CYDS), a cohort study of youth recruited in 2003 in 24 rural communities in seven US. states PARTICIPANTS: Youth in the CYDS study (n = 4407) were surveyed annually from ages 11 to 16, and at ages 18, 19, 21 and 23 years (in 2016). The sample was gender balanced (50% female) and ethnically diverse (20% Hispanic, 64% white, 3% black and 12% other race or ethnicity). The current study was limited to participants who had never used combustible cigarettes by age 21 (n = 1825). Age 21 use of e-cigarettes and age 23 use of combustible cigarettes (three or more occasions) were included in the regression analysis. Age 11-19 measures of 22 common predictors of both e-cigarette and combustible cigarette use (e.g. pro-cigarette attitudes, peer smoking, family monitoring) were used to create IPWs. After applying IPW, e-cigarette use at age 21 was associated with a twofold increase in odds of combustible cigarette use on three or more occasions 2 years later (odds ratio = 2.16, confidence interval 1.23, 3.79). Among previously never-smoking US young adults, e-cigarette use appears to be strongly associated with subsequent combustible cigarette smoking, over and above measured preexisting risk factors.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND AND AIMS
There is a public health concern that the use of e-cigarettes among non-smoking young adults could be associated with transition to combustible cigarette use. The current study is a quasi-experimental test of the relationship between e-cigarette use and subsequent combustible cigarette use among young adult non-smokers, accounting for a wide range of common risk factors.
DESIGN
Logistic regression was used to predict combustible cigarette use on three or more occasions at age 23 years based on age 21 e-cigarette use. Inverse probability weighting (IPW) was used to account for confounding variables.
SETTING
Data were drawn from the Community Youth Development Study (CYDS), a cohort study of youth recruited in 2003 in 24 rural communities in seven US. states PARTICIPANTS: Youth in the CYDS study (n = 4407) were surveyed annually from ages 11 to 16, and at ages 18, 19, 21 and 23 years (in 2016). The sample was gender balanced (50% female) and ethnically diverse (20% Hispanic, 64% white, 3% black and 12% other race or ethnicity). The current study was limited to participants who had never used combustible cigarettes by age 21 (n = 1825).
MEASUREMENTS
Age 21 use of e-cigarettes and age 23 use of combustible cigarettes (three or more occasions) were included in the regression analysis. Age 11-19 measures of 22 common predictors of both e-cigarette and combustible cigarette use (e.g. pro-cigarette attitudes, peer smoking, family monitoring) were used to create IPWs.
FINDINGS
After applying IPW, e-cigarette use at age 21 was associated with a twofold increase in odds of combustible cigarette use on three or more occasions 2 years later (odds ratio = 2.16, confidence interval 1.23, 3.79).
CONCLUSIONS
Among previously never-smoking US young adults, e-cigarette use appears to be strongly associated with subsequent combustible cigarette smoking, over and above measured preexisting risk factors.

Identifiants

pubmed: 33140475
doi: 10.1111/add.15317
pmc: PMC8043961
mid: NIHMS1654632
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

1224-1232

Subventions

Organisme : NCI NIH HHS
ID : R01 CA203809
Pays : United States
Organisme : NIDA NIH HHS
ID : R01 DA015183
Pays : United States
Organisme : NCI NIH HHS
ID : R37 CA225690
Pays : United States
Organisme : NIDA NIH HHS
ID : R01 DA044522
Pays : United States

Informations de copyright

© 2020 Society for the Study of Addiction.

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Auteurs

Marina Epstein (M)

Social Development Research Group, School of Social Work, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.

Jennifer A Bailey (JA)

Social Development Research Group, School of Social Work, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.

Rick Kosterman (R)

Social Development Research Group, School of Social Work, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.

Isaac C Rhew (IC)

Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.

Madeline Furlong (M)

Social Development Research Group, School of Social Work, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.

Sabrina Oesterle (S)

Southwest Interdisciplinary Research Center, School of Social Work, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA.

Sean Esteban McCabe (SE)

Center for the Study of Drugs, Alcohol, Smoking and Health, School of Nursing, Institute for Research on Women and Gender, and Center for Human Growth and Development, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.

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Classifications MeSH