Non-invasive stratification of hepatocellular carcinoma risk in non-alcoholic fatty liver using polygenic risk scores.

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk stratification in individuals with dysmetabolism is a major unmet need. Genetic predisposition contributes to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We aimed to exploit robust polygenic risk scores (PRS) that can be evaluated in the clinic to gain insight into the causal relationship between NAFLD and HCC, and to improve HCC risk stratification.

METHODS

We examined at-risk individuals (NAFLD cohort, n = 2,566; 226 with HCC; and a replication cohort of 427 German patients with NAFLD) and the general population (UK Biobank [UKBB] cohort, n = 364,048; 202 with HCC). Variants in PNPLA3-TM6SF2-GCKR-MBOAT7 were combined in a hepatic fat PRS (PRS-HFC), and then adjusted for HSD17B13 (PRS-5).

RESULTS

In the NAFLD cohort, the adjusted impact of genetic risk variants on HCC was proportional to the predisposition to fatty liver (p = 0.002) with some heterogeneity in the effect. PRS predicted HCC more robustly than single variants (p <10

CONCLUSIONS

Our results are consistent with a causal relationship between hepatic fat and HCC. PRS improved the accuracy of HCC detection and may help stratify HCC risk in individuals with dysmetabolism, including those without severe liver fibrosis. Further studies are needed to validate our findings.

LAY SUMMARY

By analyzing variations in genes that contribute to fatty liver disease, we developed two risk scores to help predict liver cancer in individuals with obesity-related metabolic complications. These risk scores can be easily tested in the clinic. We showed that the risk scores helped to identify the risk of liver cancer both in high-risk individuals and in the general population.

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2020 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Conflict of interest The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest relevant to the present study. SR has served as a consultant for AstraZeneca, Celgene, Sanofi, Amgen, Akcea Therapeutics, Camp4, AMbys, Medacorp and Pfizer in the past 5 years, and received research grants from AstraZeneca, Sanofi and Amgen. LV has received speaking fees from MSD, Gilead, AlfaSigma and AbbVie, served as a consultant for Gilead, Pfizer, Astra Zeneca, Novo Nordisk, Intercept, Diatech Pharmacogenetics and Ionis Pharmaceuticals, and received research grants from Gilead. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details.