Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework.
Climate-change impacts
Climate-change mitigation
Projection and prediction
Socioeconomic scenarios
Sustainability
Journal
Nature climate change
ISSN: 1758-678X
Titre abrégé: Nat Clim Chang
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101557419
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
2020
2020
Historique:
received:
16
11
2019
accepted:
15
10
2020
pubmed:
3
12
2020
medline:
3
12
2020
entrez:
2
12
2020
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change research community has developed a scenario framework combining alternative futures of climate and society to facilitate integrated research and consistent assessment to inform policy. Here we assess how well this framework is working and what challenges it faces. We synthesize insights from scenario-based literature, community discussions and recent experience in assessments, concluding that the framework has been widely adopted across research communities and is largely meeting immediate needs. However, some mixed successes and a changing policy and research landscape present key challenges, and we recommend several new directions for the development and use of this framework.
Identifiants
pubmed: 33262808
doi: 10.1038/s41558-020-00952-0
pii: 952
pmc: PMC7688299
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Review
Langues
eng
Pagination
1074-1084Informations de copyright
© Springer Nature Limited 2020.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
Competing interestsThe authors declare no competing interests.