CoMix: comparing mixing patterns in the Belgian population during and after lockdown.
Journal
Scientific reports
ISSN: 2045-2322
Titre abrégé: Sci Rep
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101563288
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
14 12 2020
14 12 2020
Historique:
received:
25
08
2020
accepted:
20
11
2020
entrez:
15
12
2020
pubmed:
16
12
2020
medline:
22
12
2020
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
The COVID-19 pandemic has shown how a newly emergent communicable disease can lay considerable burden on public health. To avoid system collapse, governments have resorted to several social distancing measures. In Belgium, this included a lockdown and a following period of phased re-opening. A representative sample of Belgian adults was asked about their contact behaviour from mid-April to the beginning of August, during different stages of the intervention measures in Belgium. Use of personal protection equipment (face masks) and compliance to hygienic measures was also reported. We estimated the expected reproduction number computing the ratio of [Formula: see text] with respect to pre-pandemic data. During the first two waves (the first month) of the survey, the reduction in the average number of contacts was around 80% and was quite consistent across all age-classes. The average number of contacts increased over time, particularly for the younger age classes, still remaining significantly lower than pre-pandemic values. From the end of May to the end of July , the estimated reproduction number has a median value larger than one, although with a wide dispersion. Estimated [Formula: see text] fell below one again at the beginning of August. We have shown how a rapidly deployed survey can measure compliance to social distancing and assess its impact on COVID-19 spread. Monitoring the effectiveness of social distancing recommendations is of paramount importance to avoid further waves of COVID-19.
Identifiants
pubmed: 33318521
doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-78540-7
pii: 10.1038/s41598-020-78540-7
pmc: PMC7736856
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
21885Subventions
Organisme : H2020 European Research Council
ID : 682540
Pays : International
Organisme : Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
ID : 101003688
Pays : International
Références
Epidemiology. 2019 Sep;30(5):723-736
pubmed: 31274572
PLoS One. 2015 Sep 01;10(9):e0136497
pubmed: 26325289
Nat Hum Behav. 2020 May;4(5):460-471
pubmed: 32355299
Euro Surveill. 2021 Feb;26(8):
pubmed: 33632374
BMC Infect Dis. 2009 Nov 27;9:187
pubmed: 19943919
Science. 2020 Jun 26;368(6498):1481-1486
pubmed: 32350060
BMJ Open. 2021 Oct 21;11(10):e050651
pubmed: 34675016
PLoS One. 2020 Aug 6;15(8):e0237128
pubmed: 32760114
PLoS One. 2012;7(11):e48695
pubmed: 23155399
BMC Infect Dis. 2021 Mar 18;21(1):274
pubmed: 33736606
Am J Epidemiol. 2006 Nov 15;164(10):936-44
pubmed: 16968863
Arch Dis Child. 2021 Jul;106(7):709-711
pubmed: 32769089
Acta Paediatr. 2020 Jun;109(6):1088-1095
pubmed: 32202343
Epidemics. 2021 Jun;35:100449
pubmed: 33799289
Lancet Infect Dis. 2020 Aug;20(8):911-919
pubmed: 32353347
BMC Med. 2020 May 7;18(1):124
pubmed: 32375776
Epidemiol Infect. 2006 Dec;134(6):1158-66
pubmed: 16707031