Compounded conservatism in European re-entry worker risk assessment of pesticides.

We review the risk parameters and drivers in the current European Union (EU) worker risk assessment for pesticides, for example considering crop maintenance, crop inspection or harvesting activities, and show that the current approach is very conservative due to multiple worst-case default assumptions. As a case study, we compare generic exposure model estimates with measured worker re-entry exposure values which shows that external cumulative exposure is overpredicted by about 50-fold on average. For this exercise, data from 16 good laboratory practice (GLP)-compliant worker exposure studies in 6 crops were evaluated with a total number of 184 workers. As generic overprediction does not allow efficient risk management or realistic risk communication, we investigate how external exposure can be better predicted within the generic model, and outline options for possible improvements in the current methodology. We show that simply using averages achieves more meaningful exposure estimates, while still being conservative, with an average exposure overprediction of about 9-fold. Overall, EU risk assessment includes several numerically unaccounted "hidden safety factors", which means that workers are well protected; but simultaneously risk assessments are biased towards failing due to compounded conservatism. This should be considered for further global or regional guidance developments and performing more exposure-relevant risk assessment.

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