The effect of human settlement temperature and humidity on the growth rules of infected and recovered cases of COVID-19.
COVID-19
Humidity
Pandemic growth
SARS-CoV-2
Socio-cultural factors
Temperature
Journal
Environmental research
ISSN: 1096-0953
Titre abrégé: Environ Res
Pays: Netherlands
ID NLM: 0147621
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
06 2021
06 2021
Historique:
received:
03
11
2020
revised:
27
03
2021
accepted:
29
03
2021
pubmed:
14
4
2021
medline:
11
6
2021
entrez:
13
4
2021
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
This study investigated the impact of humidity and temperature on the spread of COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) by statistically comparing modelled pandemic dynamics (daily infection and recovery cases) with daily temperature and humidity of three climate zones (Mainland China, South America and Africa) from January to August 2020. We modelled the pandemic growth using a simple logistic function to derive information of the viral infection and describe the growth of infected and recovered cases. The results indicate that the infected and recovered cases of the first wave were controlled in China and managed in both South America and Africa. There is a negative correlation between both humidity (r = - 0.21; p = 0.27) and temperature (r = -0.22; p = 0.24) with spread of the virus. Though this study did not fully encompass socio-cultural factors, we recognise that local government responses, general health policies, population density and transportation could also affect the spread of the virus. The pandemic can be managed better in the second wave if stricter safety protocols are implemented. We urge various units to collaborate strongly and call on countries to adhere to stronger safety protocols in the second wave.
Identifiants
pubmed: 33848552
pii: S0013-9351(21)00400-X
doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2021.111106
pmc: PMC8049428
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
111106Informations de copyright
Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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