Loss of resilience preceded transformations of pre-Hispanic Pueblo societies.

archaeology climate change collapse resilience

Journal

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
ISSN: 1091-6490
Titre abrégé: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 7505876

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
04 05 2021
Historique:
entrez: 29 4 2021
pubmed: 30 4 2021
medline: 30 4 2021
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Climate extremes are thought to have triggered large-scale transformations of various ancient societies, but they rarely seem to be the sole cause. It has been hypothesized that slow internal developments often made societies less resilient over time, setting them up for collapse. Here, we provide quantitative evidence for this idea. We use annual-resolution time series of building activity to demonstrate that repeated dramatic transformations of Pueblo cultures in the pre-Hispanic US Southwest were preceded by signals of critical slowing down, a dynamic hallmark of fragility. Declining stability of the status quo is consistent with archaeological evidence for increasing violence and in some cases, increasing wealth inequality toward the end of these periods. Our work thus supports the view that the cumulative impact of gradual processes may make societies more vulnerable through time, elevating the likelihood that a perturbation will trigger a large-scale transformation that includes radically rejecting the status quo and seeking alternative pathways.

Identifiants

pubmed: 33911035
pii: 2024397118
doi: 10.1073/pnas.2024397118
pmc: PMC8106319
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2021 the Author(s). Published by PNAS.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

The authors declare no competing interest.

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Auteurs

Marten Scheffer (M)

Environmental Science Department, Wageningen University, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands; marten.scheffer@wur.nl tako@wsu.edu.

Egbert H van Nes (EH)

Environmental Science Department, Wageningen University, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.

Darcy Bird (D)

Department of Anthropology, Washington State University, Pullman, WA 99164-4910.

R Kyle Bocinsky (RK)

Crow Canyon Archaeological Center, Cortez, CO 81321.
Montana Climate Office, W.A. Franke College of Forestry and Conservation, University of Montana, Missoula, MT 59812.

Timothy A Kohler (TA)

Department of Anthropology, Washington State University, Pullman, WA 99164-4910; marten.scheffer@wur.nl tako@wsu.edu.
Crow Canyon Archaeological Center, Cortez, CO 81321.
Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM 87501.

Classifications MeSH