Economic damages from Hurricane Sandy attributable to sea level rise caused by anthropogenic climate change.
Journal
Nature communications
ISSN: 2041-1723
Titre abrégé: Nat Commun
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101528555
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
18 05 2021
18 05 2021
Historique:
received:
11
10
2018
accepted:
19
03
2021
entrez:
19
5
2021
pubmed:
20
5
2021
medline:
20
5
2021
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
In 2012, Hurricane Sandy hit the East Coast of the United States, creating widespread coastal flooding and over $60 billion in reported economic damage. The potential influence of climate change on the storm itself has been debated, but sea level rise driven by anthropogenic climate change more clearly contributed to damages. To quantify this effect, here we simulate water levels and damage both as they occurred and as they would have occurred across a range of lower sea levels corresponding to different estimates of attributable sea level rise. We find that approximately $8.1B ($4.7B-$14.0B, 5th-95th percentiles) of Sandy's damages are attributable to climate-mediated anthropogenic sea level rise, as is extension of the flood area to affect 71 (40-131) thousand additional people. The same general approach demonstrated here may be applied to impact assessments for other past and future coastal storms.
Identifiants
pubmed: 34006886
doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22838-1
pii: 10.1038/s41467-021-22838-1
pmc: PMC8131618
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
2720Subventions
Organisme : Intramural NASA
ID : 80NSSC18K0698
Pays : United States
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