Future snow projections in a small basin of the Western Himalaya.
Afghanistan
Climate change impact
Indus basin
J2000 model
Panjshir
Snow cover
Snowmelt
Uncertainty
Journal
The Science of the total environment
ISSN: 1879-1026
Titre abrégé: Sci Total Environ
Pays: Netherlands
ID NLM: 0330500
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
15 Nov 2021
15 Nov 2021
Historique:
received:
11
02
2021
revised:
16
06
2021
accepted:
17
06
2021
pubmed:
12
7
2021
medline:
16
9
2021
entrez:
11
7
2021
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Snow is a crucial component of the hydrological cycle in the Western Himalaya. Water from snowmelt is used in various sectors in downstream regions, thus playing a critical role in securing the livelihoods of millions of people. In this study, we investigated the future evolution of snow cover and snowmelt in the Panjshir catchment of Afghanistan, a sub-basin of the Indus, in the Western Himalaya. We applied a three-step approach to select a few global climate model (GCM) simulations from CMIP5 climate datasets for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, which showed reasonable performance with ERA5-Land dataset for the chosen historical period (1981-2010). The selected model simulations were then segregated into two groups: those projecting a cold-wet climate and those projecting a warm-dry climate by the end of the 21
Identifiants
pubmed: 34247069
pii: S0048-9697(21)03659-7
doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148587
pii:
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
148587Informations de copyright
Copyright © 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.