Pattern and determinants of COVID-19 infection and mortality across countries: An ecological study.
COVID-19
COVID-19 incidence
COVID-19 mortality
COVID-19 transmissibility
Ecological factors
Exponential model
Linear model
Social mobility
Journal
Heliyon
ISSN: 2405-8440
Titre abrégé: Heliyon
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101672560
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
Jul 2021
Jul 2021
Historique:
received:
21
03
2021
revised:
30
03
2021
accepted:
05
07
2021
pubmed:
14
7
2021
medline:
14
7
2021
entrez:
13
7
2021
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
This work aimed to identify the mathematical model and ecological determinants of COVID-19 infection and mortality across different countries during the first six months of the pandemic. In this study, authors used the online available data sources of randomly selected 18 countries to figure out potential determinants of COVID-19 transmissibility and mortality. The studied variables were environmental factors (daily average temperature, daily humidity), socioeconomic attributes (population age structure, count and density, human development index, per capita income (PCI), gross domestic product, internet coverage) mobility trends and chronic diseases. Researchers used the linear and exponential time series analysis, and further utilized multivariate techniques to explain the variance in the monthly increase in cases and deaths. In the first two months, the R Controlling of COVID-19 pandemic is based mainly on controlling social mobility. Role of environmental determinants like temperature and humidity was well noticed on disease fatality and transmissibility. Socio-demographic determinants of COVID-19 spread and fatality included modifiable risk factors like PCI and non-modifiable risk factors like ageing.
Sections du résumé
BACKGROUND
BACKGROUND
This work aimed to identify the mathematical model and ecological determinants of COVID-19 infection and mortality across different countries during the first six months of the pandemic.
METHODOLOGY
METHODS
In this study, authors used the online available data sources of randomly selected 18 countries to figure out potential determinants of COVID-19 transmissibility and mortality. The studied variables were environmental factors (daily average temperature, daily humidity), socioeconomic attributes (population age structure, count and density, human development index, per capita income (PCI), gross domestic product, internet coverage) mobility trends and chronic diseases. Researchers used the linear and exponential time series analysis, and further utilized multivariate techniques to explain the variance in the monthly increase in cases and deaths.
RESULTS
RESULTS
In the first two months, the R
CONCLUSION
CONCLUSIONS
Controlling of COVID-19 pandemic is based mainly on controlling social mobility. Role of environmental determinants like temperature and humidity was well noticed on disease fatality and transmissibility. Socio-demographic determinants of COVID-19 spread and fatality included modifiable risk factors like PCI and non-modifiable risk factors like ageing.
Identifiants
pubmed: 34254048
doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e07504
pii: S2405-8440(21)01607-8
pmc: PMC8264269
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Pagination
e07504Informations de copyright
© 2021 The Authors.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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