Body-mass index and diabetes risk in 57 low-income and middle-income countries: a cross-sectional study of nationally representative, individual-level data in 685 616 adults.


Journal

Lancet (London, England)
ISSN: 1474-547X
Titre abrégé: Lancet
Pays: England
ID NLM: 2985213R

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
17 07 2021
Historique:
received: 15 01 2021
revised: 09 03 2021
accepted: 07 04 2021
entrez: 18 7 2021
pubmed: 19 7 2021
medline: 30 7 2021
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

The prevalence of overweight, obesity, and diabetes is rising rapidly in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), but there are scant empirical data on the association between body-mass index (BMI) and diabetes in these settings. In this cross-sectional study, we pooled individual-level data from nationally representative surveys across 57 LMICs. We identified all countries in which a WHO Stepwise Approach to Surveillance (STEPS) survey had been done during a year in which the country fell into an eligible World Bank income group category. For LMICs that did not have a STEPS survey, did not have valid contact information, or declined our request for data, we did a systematic search for survey datasets. Eligible surveys were done during or after 2008; had individual-level data; were done in a low-income, lower-middle-income, or upper-middle-income country; were nationally representative; had a response rate of 50% or higher; contained a diabetes biomarker (either a blood glucose measurement or glycated haemoglobin [HbA Our pooled dataset from 58 nationally representative surveys in 57 LMICs included 685 616 individuals. The overall prevalence of overweight was 27·2% (95% CI 26·6-27·8), of obesity was 21·0% (19·6-22·5), and of diabetes was 9·3% (8·4-10·2). In the pooled analysis, a higher risk of diabetes was observed at a BMI of 23 kg/m The association between BMI and diabetes risk in LMICs is subject to substantial regional variability. Diabetes risk is greater at lower BMI thresholds and at younger ages than reflected in currently used BMI cutoffs for assessing diabetes risk. These findings offer an important insight to inform context-specific diabetes screening guidelines. Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health McLennan Fund: Dean's Challenge Grant Program.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND
The prevalence of overweight, obesity, and diabetes is rising rapidly in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), but there are scant empirical data on the association between body-mass index (BMI) and diabetes in these settings.
METHODS
In this cross-sectional study, we pooled individual-level data from nationally representative surveys across 57 LMICs. We identified all countries in which a WHO Stepwise Approach to Surveillance (STEPS) survey had been done during a year in which the country fell into an eligible World Bank income group category. For LMICs that did not have a STEPS survey, did not have valid contact information, or declined our request for data, we did a systematic search for survey datasets. Eligible surveys were done during or after 2008; had individual-level data; were done in a low-income, lower-middle-income, or upper-middle-income country; were nationally representative; had a response rate of 50% or higher; contained a diabetes biomarker (either a blood glucose measurement or glycated haemoglobin [HbA
FINDINGS
Our pooled dataset from 58 nationally representative surveys in 57 LMICs included 685 616 individuals. The overall prevalence of overweight was 27·2% (95% CI 26·6-27·8), of obesity was 21·0% (19·6-22·5), and of diabetes was 9·3% (8·4-10·2). In the pooled analysis, a higher risk of diabetes was observed at a BMI of 23 kg/m
INTERPRETATION
The association between BMI and diabetes risk in LMICs is subject to substantial regional variability. Diabetes risk is greater at lower BMI thresholds and at younger ages than reflected in currently used BMI cutoffs for assessing diabetes risk. These findings offer an important insight to inform context-specific diabetes screening guidelines.
FUNDING
Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health McLennan Fund: Dean's Challenge Grant Program.

Identifiants

pubmed: 34274065
pii: S0140-6736(21)00844-8
doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00844-8
pmc: PMC8336025
mid: NIHMS1727894
pii:
doi:

Substances chimiques

Glycated Hemoglobin A 0

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

238-248

Subventions

Organisme : Wellcome Trust
Pays : United Kingdom
Organisme : NIDDK NIH HHS
ID : UM1 DK078616
Pays : United States
Organisme : NIDDK NIH HHS
ID : K23 DK125162
Pays : United States
Organisme : NCATS NIH HHS
ID : KL2 TR003143
Pays : United States
Organisme : NIDDK NIH HHS
ID : T32 DK007028
Pays : United States
Organisme : NCATS NIH HHS
ID : KL2 TR002542
Pays : United States

Commentaires et corrections

Type : CommentIn

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts

Declaration of interests MKA reports receiving a grant from Merck and Co awarded to Emory University, outside the submitted work. DJW reports serving on a data monitoring committee for Novo Nordisk SOUL and FLOW trials. JBM reports serving as an academic associate for the American clinical laboratory, Quest Diagnostics. All other authors declare no competing interests.

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Auteurs

Felix Teufel (F)

Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.

Jacqueline A Seiglie (JA)

Diabetes Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.

Pascal Geldsetzer (P)

Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany; Department of Medicine, Division of Primary Care and Population Health, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.

Michaela Theilmann (M)

Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.

Maja E Marcus (ME)

Department of Economics and Centre for Modern Indian Studies, University of Goettingen, Göttingen, Germany.

Cara Ebert (C)

RWI-Leibniz Institute for Economic Research, Essen (Berlin Office), Germany.

William Andres Lopez Arboleda (WAL)

Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.

Kokou Agoudavi (K)

Togo Ministry of Health, Lome, Togo.

Glennis Andall-Brereton (G)

Caribbean Public Health Agency, Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago.

Krishna K Aryal (KK)

Nepal Health Sector Programme 3, Monitoring Evaluation and Operational Research Project, Abt Associates, Kathmandu, Nepal.

Brice Wilfried Bicaba (BW)

Institut National de Santé Publique, Ministère de la santé, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.

Garry Brian (G)

The Fred Hollows Foundation New Zealand, Auckland, New Zealand.

Pascal Bovet (P)

Ministry of Health, Victoria, Seychelles; University Center for Primary Care and Public Health, Lausanne, Switzerland.

Maria Dorobantu (M)

University of Medicine and Pharmacy Carol Davila, Bucharest, Romania.

Mongal Singh Gurung (MS)

Health Research and Epidemiology Unit, Ministry of Health, Thimphu, Bhutan.

David Guwatudde (D)

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.

Corine Houehanou (C)

Laboratory of Epidemiology of Chronic and Neurological Diseases, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Abomey-Calavi, Cotonou, Benin.

Dismand Houinato (D)

Laboratory of Epidemiology of Chronic and Neurological Diseases, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Abomey-Calavi, Cotonou, Benin.

Jutta M Adelin Jorgensen (JMA)

Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Gibson B Kagaruki (GB)

National Institute for Medical Research, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

Khem B Karki (KB)

Department of Community Medicine and Public Health, Institute of Medicine, Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu, Nepal.

Demetre Labadarios (D)

Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.

Joao S Martins (JS)

Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universidade Nacional Timor Lorosae, Rua Jacinto Candido, Dili, Timor-Leste.

Mary T Mayige (MT)

National Institute for Medical Research, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

Roy Wong McClure (RW)

Epidemiology Office and Surveillance, Caja Costarricense de Seguro Social, San Jose, Costa Rica.

Joseph Kibachio Mwangi (JK)

Division of Non-Communicable Diseases, Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya; Faculté de Médecine, Université de Genève, Geneva, Switzerland.

Omar Mwalim (O)

Zanzibar Ministry of Health, Mnazi Mmoja, Zanzibar, Tanzania.

Bolormaa Norov (B)

National Center for Public Health, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia.

Sarah Crooks (S)

Caribbean Public Health Agency, Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago.

Farshad Farzadfar (F)

Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Sciences Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam (SS)

Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Sciences Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

Bahendeka K Silver (BK)

St Francis Hospital, Nsambya, Kampala, Uganda.

Lela Sturua (L)

Non-Communicable Diseases Department, National Center for Disease Control and Public Health, Tbilisi, Georgia; Petre Shotadze Tbilisi Medical Academy, Tbilisi, Georgia.

Chea Stanford Wesseh (CS)

Liberia Ministry of Health, Monrovia, Liberia.

Andrew C Stokes (AC)

Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.

Utibe R Essien (UR)

Division of General Internal Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Center for Health Equity Research and Promotion, Veterans Affairs Pittsburgh Healthcare System, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.

Jan-Walter De Neve (JW)

Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.

Rifat Atun (R)

Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.

Justine I Davies (JI)

Department of Global Health, Centre for Global Surgery, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa; MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit, School of Public Health, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.

Sebastian Vollmer (S)

Department of Economics and Centre for Modern Indian Studies, University of Goettingen, Göttingen, Germany.

Till W Bärnighausen (TW)

Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Africa Health Research Institute, Somkhele, South Africa.

Mohammed K Ali (MK)

Hubert Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA; Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.

James B Meigs (JB)

Department of General Internal Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.

Deborah J Wexler (DJ)

Diabetes Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.

Jennifer Manne-Goehler (J)

Medical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Division of Infectious Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. Electronic address: jmanne@partners.org.

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Classifications MeSH