Triple contagion: a two-fears epidemic model.
behaviour
dynamical systems
epidemic modelling
neuroscience
Journal
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface
ISSN: 1742-5662
Titre abrégé: J R Soc Interface
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101217269
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
08 2021
08 2021
Historique:
entrez:
3
8
2021
pubmed:
4
8
2021
medline:
11
8
2021
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
We present a differential equations model in which contagious disease transmission is affected by contagious fear of the disease and contagious fear of the control, in this case vaccine. The three contagions are coupled. The two fears evolve and interact in ways that shape distancing behaviour, vaccine uptake, and their relaxation. These behavioural dynamics in turn can amplify or suppress disease transmission, which feeds back to affect behaviour. The model reveals several coupled contagion mechanisms for multiple epidemic waves. Methodologically, the paper advances infectious disease modelling by including human behavioural adaptation, drawing on the neuroscience of fear learning, extinction and transmission.
Identifiants
pubmed: 34343457
doi: 10.1098/rsif.2021.0186
pmc: PMC8331242
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
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