Is Google Trends a useful tool for tracking mental and social distress during a public health emergency? A time-series analysis.

Anxiety Depression Domestic violence Loneliness Mental Health Pandemic Suicide

Journal

Journal of affective disorders
ISSN: 1573-2517
Titre abrégé: J Affect Disord
Pays: Netherlands
ID NLM: 7906073

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
01 Nov 2021
Historique:
received: 17 02 2021
revised: 26 06 2021
accepted: 30 06 2021
pubmed: 5 8 2021
medline: 3 9 2021
entrez: 4 8 2021
Statut: ppublish

Résumé

Google Trends data are increasingly used by researchers as an indicator of population mental health, but few studies have investigated the validity of this approach during a public health emergency. Relative search volumes (RSV) for the topics depression, anxiety, self-harm, suicide, suicidal ideation, loneliness, and abuse were obtained from Google Trends. We used graphical and time-series approaches to compare daily trends in searches for these topics against population measures of these outcomes recorded using validated self-report scales (PHQ-9; GAD-7; UCLA-3) in a weekly survey (n = ~70,000) of the impact COVID-19 on psychological and social experiences in the UK population (21/03/2020 to 21/08/ 2020). Self-reported levels of depression, anxiety, self-harm/suicidal ideation, self-harm, loneliness and abuse decreased during the period studied. There was no evidence of an association between self-reported anxiety, self-harm, abuse and RSV on Google Trends. Trends in Google topic RSV for depression and suicidal ideation were inversely associated with self-reports of these outcomes (p = 0.03 and p = 0.04, respectively). However, there was statistical and graphical evidence that self-report and Google searches for loneliness (p < 0.001) tracked one another. No age/sex breakdown of Google Trends data available. Survey respondents were not representative of the UK population and no pre-pandemic data were available. Google Trends data do not appear to be a useful indicator of changing levels of population mental health during a public health emergency, but may have some value as an indicator of loneliness.

Sections du résumé

BACKGROUND BACKGROUND
Google Trends data are increasingly used by researchers as an indicator of population mental health, but few studies have investigated the validity of this approach during a public health emergency.
METHODS METHODS
Relative search volumes (RSV) for the topics depression, anxiety, self-harm, suicide, suicidal ideation, loneliness, and abuse were obtained from Google Trends. We used graphical and time-series approaches to compare daily trends in searches for these topics against population measures of these outcomes recorded using validated self-report scales (PHQ-9; GAD-7; UCLA-3) in a weekly survey (n = ~70,000) of the impact COVID-19 on psychological and social experiences in the UK population (21/03/2020 to 21/08/ 2020).
RESULTS RESULTS
Self-reported levels of depression, anxiety, self-harm/suicidal ideation, self-harm, loneliness and abuse decreased during the period studied. There was no evidence of an association between self-reported anxiety, self-harm, abuse and RSV on Google Trends. Trends in Google topic RSV for depression and suicidal ideation were inversely associated with self-reports of these outcomes (p = 0.03 and p = 0.04, respectively). However, there was statistical and graphical evidence that self-report and Google searches for loneliness (p < 0.001) tracked one another.
LIMITATIONS CONCLUSIONS
No age/sex breakdown of Google Trends data available. Survey respondents were not representative of the UK population and no pre-pandemic data were available.
CONCLUSION CONCLUSIONS
Google Trends data do not appear to be a useful indicator of changing levels of population mental health during a public health emergency, but may have some value as an indicator of loneliness.

Identifiants

pubmed: 34348169
pii: S0165-0327(21)00674-1
doi: 10.1016/j.jad.2021.06.086
pmc: PMC8411666
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Pagination

737-744

Subventions

Organisme : Wellcome Trust
ID : 204813
Pays : United Kingdom
Organisme : Medical Research Council
ID : MC_PC_17211
Pays : United Kingdom

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2021. Published by Elsevier B.V.

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Auteurs

Duleeka Knipe (D)

Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.

David Gunnell (D)

Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.; National Institute of Health Research Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation Trust, UK. Electronic address: d.j.gunnell@bristol.ac.uk.

Hannah Evans (H)

Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK.

Ann John (A)

Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK.

Daisy Fancourt (D)

Department of Behavioural Science and Health, University College London, London, UK.

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