Sensitivity and future exposure of ecosystem services to climate change on the Tibetan Plateau of China.
Climate change
Ecosystem services
Exposure
Sensitivity
Tibetan Plateau
Journal
Landscape ecology
ISSN: 0921-2973
Titre abrégé: Landsc Ecol
Pays: Netherlands
ID NLM: 101534628
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
2021
2021
Historique:
received:
08
03
2021
accepted:
03
08
2021
pubmed:
31
8
2021
medline:
31
8
2021
entrez:
30
8
2021
Statut:
ppublish
Résumé
Climate change has imposed tremendous impacts on ecosystem services. Recent attempts to quantify such impacts mainly focused on a basin or larger scale, or used limited time periods that largely ignore observations of long-term trends at a fine resolution, thereby affecting the recognition of climate change's effect on ecosystem services. This study conducts a detailed and spatially explicit recognition of climate change's effect on ecosystem services and provides an intuitive map for decision-making and climate change adaptation planning. We used long-term time series of ecosystem service assessments and various future climate scenarios to quantify the sensitivity and future exposure of ecosystem services to climate change on the Tibetan Plateau. Carbon sequestration (CS) and habitat quality experience significant growth, while water retention did not show any trend. Sensitivity patterns of these ecosystem services vary largely. For CS, more than half of the pixels showed a positive sensitivity to climate change, even though the degree of sensitivity is not high. There is substantial spatial heterogeneity in the exposure of ecosystem services to future climate changes, and high levels of future climate change increase the intensity of exposure. This study illustrates the complex spatial association between ecosystem services and climatic drivers, and these findings can help optimize local response strategies in the context of global warming. For example, the existing protected areas have notable conservation gaps for disturbance of future climate change on ecosystem services, especially in the southeastern part of the study area. The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10980-021-01320-9.
Identifiants
pubmed: 34456507
doi: 10.1007/s10980-021-01320-9
pii: 1320
pmc: PMC8382670
doi:
Types de publication
Journal Article
Langues
eng
Pagination
3451-3471Informations de copyright
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2021.
Déclaration de conflit d'intérêts
Conflict of interestThe authors have no conflict of interest to declare that are relevant to the content of this article.
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